Football
J1 League J1 League
· 5th place
Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

vs

Not Started

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

🏟 Machida GION Stadium, Machida
📋 5th place
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for a Home Win is strongly supported by multiple metrics: Machida Zelvia have a 93% head-to-head advantage and a 78% home goals metric, with last-5 form at 80%. Their defensive record is robust, with an 86% defensive metric and 4 clean sheets at home this season. H2H evidence shows 5 wins in recent clashes, while comparison metrics favor them with 57% form over Nagoya's 43%. Season stats further underline consistent home performance. Although odds are conservative due to fallback pricing, confidence remains high from converging evidence.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance bet (Home or Draw) offers significant value with a converging probability of 90% from season and comparison metrics, including an 80% recent home form. The H2H record in favor of Machida Zelvia (93% home advantage) further boosts this outcome. With our assigned bookmaker odds of 1.80, the implied probability is around 55.6%, giving a notable value edge. Multiple lines of evidence, such as Machida's 86% defensive strength and 57% form, support this choice despite any potential variance. This convergence of statistics makes it a compelling, high value option.

90%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

H2H advantage at 93% for home

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Home last-5 form at 80%

90%

odds 0

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
WLWLW
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
WLWWL

Current Standings

3
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
18 P 13 W 37 Pts
3
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
18 P 10 W 31 Pts

Head to Head

30 May 26
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
2–2
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
D
30 Nov 25
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
3–1
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
H
2 Mar 25
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
A
6 Jul 24
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
1–0
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
H
2 Mar 24
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
0–1
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
38 23 76
2
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
38 21 75
3
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
38 19 68
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
38 20 68
5
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
38 18 64
6
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
38 17 60
7
Urawa Urawa
38 16 59
8
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
38 15 57
9
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
38 17 57
10
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
38 14 52
11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
38 13 50
12
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
38 12 48
13
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
38 12 45
14
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
38 11 44
15
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
38 12 43
16
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
38 11 43
17
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
38 11 43
18
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
38 9 35
19
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
38 8 32
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
38 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Machida Zelvia

2.05

Draw

3.40

Nagoya Grampus

3.60

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.15

Under 2.5

1.67

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.91

No

1.80

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