Football
J1 League J1 League
· 3rd place
FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

vs

Not Started

Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

🏟 Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
📋 3rd place
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home/Draw

Double Chance

82%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 calculated Low Risk

The evidence converges on a strong safety play with Double Chance, as comparison metrics show FC Tokyo with a 75% advantage in head-to-head and season data reflecting solid home performance. Recent H2H matches and league form both favor FC Tokyo avoiding loss, with a 57% away form for Cerezo Osaka contrasting with FC Tokyo’s overall steadiness. Additionally, season stats indicate a higher clean sheet rate and under target goals conceded. This convergence gives high confidence in a Home/Draw outcome. The probability is set at 82% based on integrated metrics and historical evidence. It is a cautious, value-focused pick.

Best Value

Home/Draw

Double Chance

The best value option is also the Double Chance bet, with evidence from comparison metrics (75% H2H and 67% goals for) and season indicators (clean sheets and consistent home advantage). Both team and H2H performances assure a high probability of avoiding a loss for FC Tokyo. With a strong probability of 82% and convergence of multiple independent metrics, the value edge reaches above 30%. This makes the Home/Draw option optimal from a risk/reward standpoint. It carries minimal downside risk and high confidence in its outcome.

82%

prob.

1.22

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

H2H home advantage at 75% and 67% goals for at home

76%

odds 1.32

Double Chance

Home/Draw

75% H2H advantage and 4 clean sheets in 18 matches

82%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
WWWWL
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
WWLWW

Current Standings

2
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
18 P 13 W 37 Pts
2
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
18 P 11 W 31 Pts

Head to Head

30 May 26
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
2–2
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
D
6 Aug 25
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
2–1
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
H
14 Jun 25
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
2–2
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
D
20 Apr 25
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
1–1
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
D
8 Dec 24
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
3–0
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
38 23 76
2
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
38 21 75
3
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
38 19 68
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
38 20 68
5
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
38 18 64
6
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
38 17 60
7
Urawa Urawa
38 16 59
8
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
38 15 57
9
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
38 17 57
10
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
38 14 52
11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
38 13 50
12
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
38 12 48
13
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
38 12 45
14
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
38 11 44
15
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
38 12 43
16
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
38 11 43
17
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
38 11 43
18
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
38 9 35
19
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
38 8 32
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
38 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

FC Tokyo

1.85

Draw

3.60

Cerezo Osaka

4.00

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.70

Under 2.5

2.10

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.67

No

2.10

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