Football
J1 League J1 League
· 3rd place
Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

2–2

Full Time

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

🏟 Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
🟡 F. Nakamura
📋 3rd place
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

Our analysis shows strong evidence in favor of the away side when combining multiple metrics; the H2H shows a 75% advantage for FC Tokyo and the Poisson distribution favors away at 57%. In addition, the comparison attack and goals metrics point to a reliable away performance even though home form is 57%. This double chance bet offers extra safety by covering both an away win or a draw. Given the convergence of evidence, we are confident at 85% probability. The risk is Low given the cross-checking of metrics. Overall, this option mitigates variance in individual match events.

Best Value

Away or Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance (Away or Draw) emerges as the best value option with a robust 85% probability supported by the H2H advantage (75% away) and solid league form differentials. The convergence of a 75% H2H edge and overall team form (Cerezo Osaka at 80% home form vs FC Tokyo’s 60% away form) provides considerable value. The conservative odds of 1.1765 create an estimated value edge of over 30%. Risk remains low given the statistical trends across comparison and season data. This pick offers a strong blend of safety and value.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away advantage at 75%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Combined double chance probability at 85%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
WWLWW
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
WWWWL

Current Standings

2
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
18 P 13 W 37 Pts
2
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
18 P 11 W 31 Pts

Head to Head

30 May 26
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
2–2
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
D
6 Aug 25
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
2–1
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
H
14 Jun 25
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
2–2
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
D
20 Apr 25
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
1–1
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
D
8 Dec 24
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
3–0
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
38 23 76
2
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
38 21 75
3
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
38 19 68
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
38 20 68
5
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
38 18 64
6
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
38 17 60
7
Urawa Urawa
38 16 59
8
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
38 15 57
9
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
38 17 57
10
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
38 14 52
11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
38 13 50
12
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
38 12 48
13
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
38 12 45
14
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
38 11 44
15
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
38 12 43
16
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
38 11 43
17
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
38 11 43
18
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
38 9 35
19
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
38 8 32
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
38 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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