Football
J1 League J1 League
· 5th place
Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

2–2

Full Time

Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

🏟 Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
🟡 H. Kimura
📋 5th place
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result pick of an Away Win is supported by multiple metrics: the h2h shows an 80% advantage for Machida Zelvia and their last-5 form is 80% compared to 60% for Nagoya Grampus. Additionally, the goals metric favors the away team at 63% while the home side lags at 38%, and season stats show Machida concedes just 0.4 on average versus Nagoya's 2.4. H2H evidence from 7 recent matches (5 wins for Machida) further backs this choice. Despite strong evidence, caution is maintained given the competitive nature of the matchup. Overall confidence is 85%.

Best Value

Away Win or Draw

Double Chance

For the best optimal value bet, the Double Chance market offering 'Away Win or Draw' is selected with a very high estimated probability of 90%. Comparison metrics and season form support Machida Zelvia, and this market minimizes risk by covering a draw. The h2h advantage for Machida (80% in their favor) and their recent 80% form in the last 5 bolsters this pick. However, as fair odds were used (1.11 calculated), the inherent value edge is minimal, so caution is advised.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H advantage: 80% for away and last-5 form: 80% for Machida

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Double Chance probability at 90% with Machida’s 80% last-5 form

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
WLWWL
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
WLWLW

Current Standings

3
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
18 P 13 W 37 Pts
3
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
18 P 10 W 31 Pts

Head to Head

30 May 26
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
2–2
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
D
30 Nov 25
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
3–1
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
H
2 Mar 25
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
A
6 Jul 24
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
1–0
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
H
2 Mar 24
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
0–1
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
38 23 76
2
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
38 21 75
3
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
38 19 68
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
38 20 68
5
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
38 18 64
6
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
38 17 60
7
Urawa Urawa
38 16 59
8
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
38 15 57
9
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
38 17 57
10
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
38 14 52
11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
38 13 50
12
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
38 12 48
13
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
38 12 45
14
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
38 11 44
15
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
38 12 43
16
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
38 11 43
17
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
38 11 43
18
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
38 9 35
19
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
38 8 32
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
38 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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