Football
Bundesliga Bundesliga
· Semi-finals
Ried

Ried

2–1

Full Time

Wolfsberger AC

Wolfsberger AC

🏟 Innviertel Arena, Ried
🟡 M. Hameter
📋 Semi-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

81%

confidence

Odds: 1.23 calculated Medium Risk

The evidence suggests a strong away win with Wolfsberger AC based on multiple metrics. Comparison data shows the away team with a 67% score in form and attack contrasted with the home team's 33%, while the last 5 games indicate an 80% form for Wolfsberger versus 40% for Ried. H2H records are mixed but recent trends favor the away side with more wins. Additionally, the Poisson distribution favors the home team only slightly (57% vs 43%), yet the overall picture supports an away victory. Season stats reveal Ried’s lower average goals (1.3 at home) compared to Wolfsberger’s ability to score consistently away. Given these converging factors, an away win is the highest confidence pick despite minor uncertainties.

Best Value

Away/Draw

Double Chance

The best value option is a Double Chance on Away/Draw, capitalizing on Wolfsberger AC’s strong form. Ried’s last 5 form is only 40% versus Wolfsberger’s 80%, and the comparison metrics highlight a 67% advantage in both form and attack for the away side. This convergence suggests a safe cushion against a home upset, providing a value edge. Although some H2H results are mixed, the overall statistical edge from season and recent performance supports this bet. The evidence indicates a significant edge, justifying the choice despite inherent match uncertainties.

82%

prob.

1.22

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away team form 80% vs Home team form 40%

81%

odds 1.23

Double Chance

Away/Draw

Last 5 form: 80% (Away) vs 40% (Home)

82%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Ried
Ried
WLWDD
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
LDDLD

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
22 12 38
2
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
22 10 37
3
Lask Linz Lask Linz
22 11 37
4
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
22 11 36
5
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
22 9 33
6
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
22 8 33
7
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens
22 8 31
8
SCR Altach SCR Altach
22 7 29
9
Ried Ried
22 8 28
10
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
22 7 26
11
Grazer AK Grazer AK
22 4 20
12
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
22 4 15
1
Lask Linz Lask Linz
32 17 39
2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
32 16 37
3
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
32 13 29
4
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
32 14 29
5
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
32 12 27
6
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
32 10 25
7
Ried Ried
32 12 28
8
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
32 11 28
9
Grazer AK Grazer AK
32 9 27
10
SCR Altach SCR Altach
32 10 27
11
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens
32 10 24
12
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
32 8 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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