Football
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· Final
Lommel United

Lommel United

3–2

Full Time

Dender

Dender

🏟 Soevereinstadion, Lommel
🟡 W. De Cremer
📋 Final
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Lommel United Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.1 bookmaker Medium Risk

The evidence leans towards a home win with strong comparison metrics: Lommel United form is 80% and their Poisson metric is 91%, while their season average is 2.8 goals per game compared to Dender’s 1.2. Although the head-to-head metric is 38% in favor of the home side versus 62% for the away side, the overwhelming home advantage in form and defense reduces risk. Season stats further support a win with Lommel’s clean sheet and scoring record. This pick has some risk given mixed H2H results but the overall convergence suggests a strong likelihood.

Best Value

Lommel United or Draw

Double Chance

The double chance bet on Lommel United or Draw offers value with a convergence of evidence from season and comparison metrics, including a home attack rating of 65% versus Dender’s 35% and a home form of 80%. These factors support reducing risk on a potential upset in the head-to-head. The combined probability is estimated at 85%, providing a value edge. Although head-to-head data shows some favor for the away team, the home advantage and season scoring record tip the balance. The evidence is sufficiently strong with minimal conflict, and the value edge is around 30%.

85%

prob.

1.36

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Lommel United Win

Lommel form 80% vs Dender form 20%

80%

odds 2.1

Double Chance

Lommel United or Draw

Home att 65% vs Dender att 35%

85%

odds 1.36

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Lommel United
Lommel United
WLLWW
Dender
Dender
LLWLL

Current Standings

4
Dender
Dender
36 P 5 W 25 Pts
16
Dender
Dender
30 P 3 W 19 Pts

Head to Head

23 May 26
Dender Dender
0–0
Lommel United Lommel United
D
17 May 26
Lommel United Lommel United
3–2
Dender Dender
H
3 Feb 24
Lommel United Lommel United
2–2
Dender Dender
D
16 Sept 23
Dender Dender
3–1
Lommel United Lommel United
H
6 May 23
Dender Dender
2–1
Lommel United Lommel United
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
40 28 57
2
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
40 25 53
3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
40 22 43
4
Anderlecht Anderlecht
40 15 33
5
Gent Gent
40 13 29
6
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
40 13 29
1
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
36 13 48
2
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
36 10 41
3
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
36 7 34
4
Dender Dender
36 5 25
1
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
30 19 66
2
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
30 20 63
3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
30 18 57
4
Gent Gent
30 13 45
5
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
30 12 45
6
Anderlecht Anderlecht
30 12 44
7
Genk Genk
30 11 42
8
Standard Liege Standard Liege
30 11 40
9
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
30 10 39
10
Antwerp Antwerp
30 9 35
11
Charleroi Charleroi
30 9 34
12
OH Leuven OH Leuven
30 9 34
13
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
30 8 32
14
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
30 7 31
15
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
30 6 31
16
Dender Dender
30 3 19
1
Genk Genk
40 15 38
2
Standard Liege Standard Liege
40 16 37
3
Charleroi Charleroi
40 14 34
4
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
40 14 33
5
Antwerp Antwerp
40 13 31
6
OH Leuven OH Leuven
40 10 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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