Football
1. Division 1. Division
· Relegation Group - 33
Akritas

Akritas

1–2

Full Time

AEL

AEL

🏟 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
🟡 A. Culina
📋 Relegation Group - 33
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The seasonal under 2.5 data is compelling with Akritas showing 29 under outcomes and AEL with 28 under, reflecting roughly 90% and 87% frequencies respectively. This, combined with the low scoring averages (0.7 for Akritas at home and 1.1 for AEL away), supports a conservative Under 2.5 prediction. Comparison metrics also favor low scoring with both teams' goals percentages at 50%. Despite mixed H2H results, the season data strongly supports fewer goals overall. The risk is kept low by converging multiple season statistics. Overall, the evidence justifies an 85% probability.

Best Value

Draw/Away

Double Chance

The Double Chance market on Draw/Away offers substantial value with an implied probability of about 55.6% from the bookmaker odds of 1.80. Our independent metrics, including a total comparison of 52.5% favoring the away side and season stats supporting AEL’s attacking edge, boost our confidence to 80%. This selection covers the risk of a draw while capturing the tendency of AEL to overcome home defenses. The convergence of a 68% Poisson distribution for AEL and solid recent away performances underpins the value. With an estimated value edge over 44%, this option represents a strong optimal pick. The risk remains measured given the mixed H2H outcomes.

80%

prob.

1.8

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

AEL Win

AEL att 58% vs Akritas att 42%

60%

odds 3.8

BTTS

Yes

BTTS occurred in 3 out of 6 H2H encounters (50%)

55%

odds 1.82

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Akritas
Akritas
LLLLL
AEL
AEL
WLWDL

Current Standings

8
AEL
AEL
26 P 10 W 33 Pts
12
Akritas
Akritas
26 P 7 W 26 Pts
8
AEL
AEL
33 P 13 W 44 Pts
12
Akritas
Akritas
33 P 10 W 35 Pts

Head to Head

15 May 26
Akritas Akritas
1–2
AEL AEL
A
17 Jan 26
Akritas Akritas
0–2
AEL AEL
A
27 Sept 25
AEL AEL
0–2
Akritas Akritas
A
9 May 23
Akritas Akritas
1–0
AEL AEL
H
1 Apr 23
AEL AEL
2–2
Akritas Akritas
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
26 19 61
2
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
26 16 53
3
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
26 16 53
4
Pafos Pafos
26 16 51
5
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
26 13 45
6
Aris Aris
26 12 43
7
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou
26 10 34
8
AEL AEL
26 10 33
9
Anorthosis Anorthosis
26 7 32
10
Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas
26 8 28
11
Olympiakos Olympiakos
26 6 28
12
Akritas Akritas
26 7 26
13
Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna
26 7 23
14
Enosis Enosis
26 0 1
1
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
36 27 87
2
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
36 20 69
3
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
36 20 67
4
Pafos Pafos
36 18 62
5
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
36 15 52
6
Aris Aris
36 14 51
7
Anorthosis Anorthosis
33 11 45
8
AEL AEL
33 13 44
9
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou
33 12 42
10
Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas
33 11 40
11
Olympiakos Olympiakos
33 10 40
12
Akritas Akritas
33 10 35
13
Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna
33 10 33
14
Enosis Enosis
33 1 5
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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