Football
Premiership Premiership
· Quarter-finals
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

1–0

Full Time

Arbroath

Arbroath

🏟 East End Park, Dunfermline
🟡 R. Lee
📋 Quarter-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Dunfermline or Draw

Double Chance

88%

confidence

Odds: 1.36 bookmaker Low Risk

Dunfermline's home advantage (58% for goals and 54% overall) combined with a favorable H2H record – avoiding defeat in 7 out of 10 encounters – makes Double Chance (Dunfermline or Draw) the safest pick. The comparison metrics and recent match results indicate a strong likelihood of not losing, despite mixed form data. This option minimizes risk while capturing the home edge and consistent performance. With an 88% estimated probability, the risk is low and the evidence converges across multiple datasets.

Best Value

Dunfermline Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result option for a Dunfermline Win leverages the team's home strength (58% in goals) and a favorable edge seen in key H2H matches. With an 80% probability against odds-implied probability of 44.4%, this bet offers a significant value edge of approximately 35.6%. Despite some conflicting H2H losses, the convergence of home advantage and statistical trends supports this outcome. The confidence is robust, making it a high-value pick with notable upside.

80%

prob.

2.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Dunfermline Win

Home goals advantage at 58% vs 42% away

80%

odds 2.25

Double Chance

Dunfermline or Draw

Non-defeat in 7 out of 10 H2H matches

88%

odds 1.36

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Dunfermline
Dunfermline
DWLWD
Arbroath
Arbroath
LLLWD

Head to Head

8 May 26
Arbroath Arbroath
0–0
Dunfermline Dunfermline
D
5 May 26
Dunfermline Dunfermline
1–0
Arbroath Arbroath
H
1 May 26
Dunfermline Dunfermline
0–0
Arbroath Arbroath
D
21 Feb 26
Arbroath Arbroath
4–2
Dunfermline Dunfermline
H
6 Dec 25
Dunfermline Dunfermline
1–2
Arbroath Arbroath
A

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