Football
1. Division 1. Division
· Championship Group - 32
Apollon Limassol

Apollon Limassol

2–1

Full Time

Pafos

Pafos

🏟 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
🟡 L. Graagaard
📋 Championship Group - 32
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Pafos Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.7 bookmaker Medium Risk

Multiple metrics converge on a Pafos win with strong H2H data (6 wins out of 10 matches, or 60%) and season stats showing a higher goals average (1.9 vs 1.4). The comparison metrics favor away with 57% in goals and slightly weaker defence for Apollon (56% vs 44%). Despite Apollon’s home form being 56%, the convergence of Poisson and H2H evidence drives confidence upward. The overall probability estimate is 80% while acknowledging some inherent fixture risk.

Best Value

Pafos Win

3-Way Result

The value edge is evident with Pafos win in the 3-Way market where the bookmaker odds of 2.70 imply a ~37% chance compared to an 80% probability based on H2H (6 wins out of 10) and season goal averages. This represents a value edge of roughly 43%. The independent metrics including goals (1.9 vs 1.4) and H2H results underscore strong Pafos performance. Although there is some risk from Apollon’s home advantage, multiple data points justify the selection.

80%

prob.

2.7

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Pafos Win

Pafos won 6/10 H2H matches (60%)

80%

odds 2.7

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Pafos avoided defeat in 8/10 H2H matches (80%)

85%

odds 1.44

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol
LWWLW
Pafos
Pafos
WWDWL

Head to Head

29 May 26
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
0–2
Pafos Pafos
A
3 May 26
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
2–1
Pafos Pafos
H
22 Mar 26
Pafos Pafos
1–1
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
D
4 Jan 26
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
2–1
Pafos Pafos
H
13 Sept 25
Pafos Pafos
0–1
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
A

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