Football
1. Division 1. Division
· Championship Group - 32
Apollon Limassol

Apollon Limassol

2–1

Full Time

Pafos

Pafos

🏟 Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
🟡 L. Graagaard
📋 Championship Group - 32
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Pafos Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.7 bookmaker Medium Risk

Multiple metrics converge on a Pafos win with strong H2H data (6 wins out of 10 matches, or 60%) and season stats showing a higher goals average (1.9 vs 1.4). The comparison metrics favor away with 57% in goals and slightly weaker defence for Apollon (56% vs 44%). Despite Apollon’s home form being 56%, the convergence of Poisson and H2H evidence drives confidence upward. The overall probability estimate is 80% while acknowledging some inherent fixture risk.

Best Value

Pafos Win

3-Way Result

The value edge is evident with Pafos win in the 3-Way market where the bookmaker odds of 2.70 imply a ~37% chance compared to an 80% probability based on H2H (6 wins out of 10) and season goal averages. This represents a value edge of roughly 43%. The independent metrics including goals (1.9 vs 1.4) and H2H results underscore strong Pafos performance. Although there is some risk from Apollon’s home advantage, multiple data points justify the selection.

80%

prob.

2.7

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Pafos Win

Pafos won 6/10 H2H matches (60%)

80%

odds 2.7

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Pafos avoided defeat in 8/10 H2H matches (80%)

85%

odds 1.44

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol
WDLWL
Pafos
Pafos
LDWDD

Current Standings

3
Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol
26 P 16 W 53 Pts
4
Pafos
Pafos
26 P 16 W 51 Pts
3
Apollon Limassol
Apollon Limassol
36 P 20 W 67 Pts
4
Pafos
Pafos
36 P 18 W 62 Pts

Head to Head

29 May 26
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
0–2
Pafos Pafos
A
3 May 26
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
2–1
Pafos Pafos
H
22 Mar 26
Pafos Pafos
1–1
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
D
4 Jan 26
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
2–1
Pafos Pafos
H
13 Sept 25
Pafos Pafos
0–1
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Pafos Pafos
36 26 82
2
Aris Aris
36 22 75
3
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
36 20 68
4
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
36 19 68
5
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
36 14 53
6
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
36 12 46
1
Anorthosis Anorthosis
33 15 52
2
AEL AEL
33 11 39
3
Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna
33 9 39
4
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou
33 10 35
5
Enosis Enosis
33 10 35
6
Karmiotissa Karmiotissa
33 9 34
7
Nea Salamis Nea Salamis
33 6 26
8
Omonia 29is Maiou Omonia 29is Maiou
33 3 14
1
Pafos Pafos
26 20 62
2
Aris Aris
26 18 61
3
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
26 16 54
4
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
26 16 52
5
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
26 12 43
6
Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol
26 11 40
7
Anorthosis Anorthosis
26 10 37
8
Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna
26 6 29
9
Karmiotissa Karmiotissa
26 7 27
10
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou
26 7 26
11
AEL AEL
26 6 24
12
Enosis Enosis
26 5 19
13
Nea Salamis Nea Salamis
26 4 17
14
Omonia 29is Maiou Omonia 29is Maiou
26 3 14
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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