Our integrated analysis favors a double chance on Draw/Away given that the aggregated metrics (form: home 36% vs away 64% and H2H: home 38% vs away 62%) support an away edge, while the combined probability of an away win or draw is estimated at 80%. The last‐5 results show away form at 60% and attacking strength at 73% compared to home’s 33% and 40%, reducing risk. This bet uses the bookmaker odds of 1.44 for Draw/Away and is supported by 3-way comparison metrics and H2H records. Although the Poisson distribution favored home (68% vs 32%), the dominant evidence from form and direct encounters leads us to this pick.