Football
First League First League
· Relegation Group - 35
Lokomotiv Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia

1–1

Full Time

Beroe

Beroe

🏟 Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
🟡 V. Chinkov
📋 Relegation Group - 35
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Lokomotiv Sofia Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.8 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

Based on comparison metrics, Lokomotiv Sofia has a dominant h2h advantage at 93% and a favorable goals metric at 77%, supporting a home win. The Poisson distribution also favors Lokomotiv at 66% compared to 34% for Beroe. Additionally, season statistics indicate that Lokomotiv has scored 24 goals at home, reinforcing their attacking edge. Although their last‐5 form is 40%, the convergence of 35% comparison and 30% h2h evidence drives confidence. This alignment leads to an 80% probability pick despite some slight defensive concerns. The bookmaker odds for Lokomotiv Sofia win are exactly 1.80, confirming our choice.

Best Value

Lokomotiv Sofia Win

3-Way Result

The best optimal value lies in the same outcome, 'Lokomotiv Sofia Win', which provides significant value with odds of 1.80 and an estimated probability of 80%. The calculation reveals a value edge of approximately 44% (1.80 x 0.80 - 1), exceeding the 30% minimum threshold. Both comparison metrics and h2h evidence, notably the 93% h2h advantage and 77% goals metric, strongly support this pick. Season statistics further back the decision as Lokomotiv scores 24 goals at home. This convergence of evidence minimizes risk while providing superior value. Thus, this option offers a compelling mix of confidence and value.

80%

prob.

1.8

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Lokomotiv Sofia Win

H2H at 93% in favor of Lokomotiv Sofia

80%

odds 1.8

Double Chance

Lokomotiv Sofia or Draw

Double chance covers strong 93% h2h advantage

85%

odds 1.2

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
WDLWL
Beroe
Beroe
WWDLL

Current Standings

11
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
30 P 9 W 37 Pts
15
Beroe
Beroe
30 P 4 W 23 Pts
10
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
37 P 11 W 47 Pts
14
Beroe
Beroe
37 P 7 W 34 Pts

Head to Head

14 May 26
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
Beroe Beroe
D
9 Apr 26
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
2–1
Beroe Beroe
H
3 Nov 25
Beroe Beroe
1–3
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
A
30 Nov 24
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
2–1
Beroe Beroe
H
29 Jul 24
Beroe Beroe
0–0
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
30 22 70
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
30 17 60
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
30 18 59
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
30 16 56
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
30 11 46
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
30 11 44
7
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
30 12 44
8
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
30 11 40
9
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
30 10 39
10
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
30 9 38
11
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
30 9 37
12
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
30 5 27
13
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
30 7 26
14
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
30 7 26
15
Beroe Beroe
30 4 23
16
Montana Montana
30 3 17
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
36 14 55
6
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
36 15 54
7
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
36 14 54
8
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
36 13 46
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
36 25 81
2
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
36 20 67
3
Ludogorets Ludogorets
36 19 67
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
36 18 63
9
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
37 13 53
10
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
37 11 47
11
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
37 12 46
12
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
37 8 37
13
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
37 9 36
14
Beroe Beroe
37 7 34
15
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
37 8 31
16
Montana Montana
37 4 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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