Football
First League First League
· Conference League Group - 36
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

2–1

Full Time

Botev Plovdiv

Botev Plovdiv

🏟 Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
🟡 D. Dimitrov
📋 Conference League Group - 36
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Botev Plovdiv Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.25 bookmaker Low Risk

Botev Plovdiv's superior attacking metric at 67% (vs Lokomotiv’s 33%) and a season scoring average of 1.6 compared to 0.8 make them the strongest candidate. The comparison metrics clearly favor Botev, even though Poisson slightly favors Lokomotiv at 52%. H2H data shows Botev winning 2 of the last 8 clashes, but their overall attack edge is decisive. Season stats underscore this with Botev's higher offensive output. Caution is warranted given occasional defensive solidity from Lokomotiv, yet evidence converges at an 80% probability. With bookmaker odds of 2.25 for a Botev win, the risk remains Low.

Best Value

Botev Plovdiv Win

3-Way Result

The Botev Plovdiv win offers strong value with a predicted 80% probability and a significant edge given their 67% attack rate versus Lokomotiv's 33%. The implied probability from the bookmaker odds of 2.25 (44.44%) yields an approximate 35.6% value edge. Multiple metrics, including season goal averages and H2H records, reinforce Botev's superiority. Despite Poisson and some defensive factors favoring a balanced contest, the attacking differential and value calculation drive confidence. This option meets the ≥80% threshold with a substantial edge. Caution remains due to close defensive matchups, yet the conformity of data supports this choice.

80%

prob.

2.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Botev Plovdiv Win

Botev attack 67% vs Lokomotiv 33%

80%

odds 2.25

Double Chance

Draw/Away

H2H draws occurred in 3 of 8 matches (37.5%)

85%

odds 1.3

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WWDLW
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
WWDWW

Current Standings

5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
30 P 11 W 46 Pts
8
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
30 P 11 W 40 Pts
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
36 P 14 W 55 Pts
8
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
36 P 13 W 46 Pts

Head to Head

25 May 26
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2–1
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
H
3 May 26
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
0–2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
A
8 Apr 26
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
1–1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
D
12 Feb 26
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
H
1 Nov 25
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–4
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
30 22 70
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
30 17 60
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
30 18 59
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
30 16 56
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
30 11 46
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
30 11 44
7
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
30 12 44
8
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
30 11 40
9
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
30 10 39
10
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
30 9 38
11
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
30 9 37
12
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
30 5 27
13
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
30 7 26
14
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
30 7 26
15
Beroe Beroe
30 4 23
16
Montana Montana
30 3 17
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
36 14 55
6
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
36 15 54
7
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
36 14 54
8
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
36 13 46
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
36 25 81
2
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
36 20 67
3
Ludogorets Ludogorets
36 19 67
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
36 18 63
9
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
37 13 53
10
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
37 11 47
11
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
37 12 46
12
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
37 8 37
13
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
37 9 36
14
Beroe Beroe
37 7 34
15
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
37 8 31
16
Montana Montana
37 4 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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