Football
UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League
· Semi-finals
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3–1

Full Time

SC Braga

SC Braga

🏟 Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
🟡 Davide Massa, Italy
📋 Semi-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

80%

confidence

Odds: 0 calculated Medium Risk

The under 2.5 market is supported by strong season under/over trends: SC Braga have recorded under 2.5 in 18 out of 19 fixtures (95%), while SC Freiburg’s record shows 9 under 2.5 results out of 13 (69%). This weighted evidence suggests a low-scoring affair. The combination of season thresholds and recent performance leans towards fewer goals despite mixed Poisson and comparison metrics. While h2h data is less directly relevant here, the overall scoring trends safely favor under 2.5. This pick has a probability of 80% and remains a cautious choice.

Best Value

Draw/Away

Double Chance

Double Chance: Draw/Away stands out for value with converging evidence. The h2h comparison shows 100% favoring the away side and away goals in the overall goals metric at 67%, which along with season trends gives strong coverage. With bookmaker odds of 1.95, the implied probability is about 51%, creating a significant value edge when our probability is raised to 82%. This convergence of evidence justifies an 82% probability choice despite minor conflicts in other metrics.

82%

prob.

1.95

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

SC Braga Win

H2H away 100% and goals metric 67% for Braga

75%

odds 4.75

Double Chance

Draw/Away

H2H away 100% and season form 67% for Braga

80%

odds 1.95

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
LLLWW
SC Braga
SC Braga
LWDWW

Current Standings

6
SC Braga
SC Braga
8 P 5 W 17 Pts
7
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
8 P 5 W 17 Pts

Head to Head

7 May 26
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
3–1
SC Braga SC Braga
H
30 Apr 26
SC Braga SC Braga
2–1
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lyon Lyon
8 7 21
2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
8 7 21
3
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
8 6 19
4
Real Betis Real Betis
8 5 17
5
FC Porto FC Porto
8 5 17
6
SC Braga SC Braga
8 5 17
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
8 5 17
8
AS Roma AS Roma
8 5 16
9
Genk Genk
8 5 16
10
Bologna Bologna
8 4 15
11
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
8 5 15
12
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
8 4 15
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
8 4 14
14
Plzen Plzen
8 3 14
15
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
8 4 14
16
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
8 4 13
17
PAOK PAOK
8 3 12
18
Lille Lille
8 4 12
19
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
8 3 12
20
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
8 3 12
21
Celtic Celtic
8 3 11
22
Ludogorets Ludogorets
8 3 10
23
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
8 3 10
24
Brann Brann
8 2 9
25
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
8 3 9
26
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
8 2 7
27
FCSB FCSB
8 2 7
28
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
8 2 7
29
Feyenoord Feyenoord
8 2 6
30
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
8 2 6
31
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
8 2 6
32
Rangers Rangers
8 1 4
33
Nice Nice
8 1 3
34
Utrecht Utrecht
8 0 1
35
Malmo FF Malmo FF
8 0 1
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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