Football
UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League
· Semi-finals
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

1–0

Full Time

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

🏟 City Ground, Nottingham
🟡 Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
📋 Semi-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Aston Villa Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 2.75 bookmaker Medium Risk

Aston Villa emerge as the best bet based on multiple metrics: the comparison data shows an away advantage with 68% in form and 71% in head-to-head, while last-5 form is 100% for Aston Villa compared to 47% for Nottingham Forest. Season statistics further underline Villa's potency with an average of 2.6 goals per game and a perfect penalty scoring record at 100%. H2H evidence shows Villa winning 5 out of 9 recent encounters. This convergence of evidence strongly supports an Aston Villa win despite the inherent match uncertainties. The bookmaker odds at 2.75 for an Aston Villa win in the 3-Way Result market further reinforce this prediction. Confidence remains high given these aligned multiple data points.

Best Value

Aston Villa Win

3-Way Result

The Aston Villa win in the 3-Way Result market offers compelling value with a calculated probability of 85% against bookmaker implied odds of 36.36%, yielding a value edge of approximately 48%. Comparison metrics heavily favor the away side with percentages such as 68% in attacking and 71% in head-to-head advantage. Season form and scoring data – with Villa’s 100% recent form and their consistent goal-scoring record – further reinforce the pick. H2H results add additional weight with Villa winning five of the nine encounters. While risks exist in any fixture, the convergence across at least three independent data sets makes this an optimal value bet.

85%

prob.

2.75

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Aston Villa Win

Aston Villa last-5 form at 100% and 71% H2H advantage

85%

odds 2.75

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Aston Villa’s 100% last-5 form and 71% H2H advantage

90%

odds 1.5

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
WWWWD
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
LLLWW

Current Standings

2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
8 P 7 W 21 Pts
13
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
8 P 4 W 14 Pts

Head to Head

7 May 26
Aston Villa Aston Villa
4–0
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
H
30 Apr 26
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
1–0
Aston Villa Aston Villa
H
12 Apr 26
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
1–1
Aston Villa Aston Villa
D
3 Jan 26
Aston Villa Aston Villa
3–1
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
H
5 Apr 25
Aston Villa Aston Villa
2–1
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lyon Lyon
8 7 21
2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
8 7 21
3
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
8 6 19
4
Real Betis Real Betis
8 5 17
5
FC Porto FC Porto
8 5 17
6
SC Braga SC Braga
8 5 17
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
8 5 17
8
AS Roma AS Roma
8 5 16
9
Genk Genk
8 5 16
10
Bologna Bologna
8 4 15
11
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
8 5 15
12
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
8 4 15
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
8 4 14
14
Plzen Plzen
8 3 14
15
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
8 4 14
16
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
8 4 13
17
PAOK PAOK
8 3 12
18
Lille Lille
8 4 12
19
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
8 3 12
20
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
8 3 12
21
Celtic Celtic
8 3 11
22
Ludogorets Ludogorets
8 3 10
23
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
8 3 10
24
Brann Brann
8 2 9
25
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
8 3 9
26
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
8 2 7
27
FCSB FCSB
8 2 7
28
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
8 2 7
29
Feyenoord Feyenoord
8 2 6
30
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
8 2 6
31
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
8 2 6
32
Rangers Rangers
8 1 4
33
Nice Nice
8 1 3
34
Utrecht Utrecht
8 0 1
35
Malmo FF Malmo FF
8 0 1
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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