Football
UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League
· Semi-finals
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

5–4

Full Time

Bayern München

Bayern München

🏟 Parc des Princes, Paris
🟡 S. Scharer
📋 Semi-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Double Chance: Draw or Bayern München

Double Chance

82%

confidence

Odds: 1.9 Medium Risk

Our best bet is to take the double chance option with Draw or Bayern München. Comparison metrics show PSG has a 46% form versus Bayern’s 54%, and the h2h metric is 80% in Bayern's favor. The provider percentages also underline a 45% chance for both Draw and Away outcomes. Furthermore, PSG’s last 5 form is 87% while Bayern is at 100%, making the option balanced yet favoring the away team. Season stats support Bayern’s potent attack with an average of 3.6 goals compared to PSG’s 2.8. However, the risk remains medium due to the competitive nature of the matchup.

Best Value

Bayern München Win

3-Way Result

The best optimal pick is the 3-Way Result with a Bayern München win. The comparison metrics show Bayern’s h2h figure at 80% and a Poisson distribution favoring Bayern at 62%, which converges with their 100% form in the last 5 matches. Bayern’s attacking average of 3.6 goals further supports this, while PSG’s lower average of 2.8 goals and stronger defensive record (64% def) tip the scales. H2H evidence also indicates Bayern have often come out on top, despite a rare upset. These multiple converging data points give this option a clear value edge.

85%

prob.

1.75

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Bayern München Win

Bayern h2h advantage at 80% and Poisson away 62%

80%

odds 1.8

Double Chance

Double Chance: Draw or Bayern München

Provider percentages at 45% each for Draw and Bayern

82%

odds 1.65

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
DWWWL
Bayern München
Bayern München
LWWWW

Current Standings

2
Bayern München
Bayern München
8 P 7 W 21 Pts
11
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
8 P 4 W 14 Pts

Head to Head

6 May 26
Bayern München Bayern München
1–1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
D
28 Apr 26
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
5–4
Bayern München Bayern München
H
4 Nov 25
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
1–2
Bayern München Bayern München
A
5 Jul 25
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
2–0
Bayern München Bayern München
H
26 Nov 24
Bayern München Bayern München
1–0
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
8 8 24
2
Bayern München Bayern München
8 7 21
3
Liverpool Liverpool
8 6 18
4
Tottenham Tottenham
8 5 17
5
Barcelona Barcelona
8 5 16
6
Chelsea Chelsea
8 5 16
7
Sporting CP Sporting CP
8 5 16
8
Manchester City Manchester City
8 5 16
9
Real Madrid Real Madrid
8 5 15
10
Inter Inter
8 5 15
11
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
8 4 14
12
Newcastle Newcastle
8 4 14
13
Juventus Juventus
8 3 13
14
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
8 4 13
15
Atalanta Atalanta
8 4 13
16
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
8 3 12
17
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
8 3 11
18
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
8 3 11
19
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
8 3 10
20
Galatasaray Galatasaray
8 3 10
21
Monaco Monaco
8 2 10
22
Qarabag Qarabag
8 3 10
23
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
8 2 9
24
Benfica Benfica
8 3 9
25
Marseille Marseille
8 3 9
26
Pafos Pafos
8 2 9
27
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
8 3 9
28
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 2 8
29
Athletic Club Athletic Club
8 2 8
30
Napoli Napoli
8 2 8
31
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 2 8
32
Ajax Ajax
8 2 6
33
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
8 1 4
34
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
8 0 3
35
Villarreal Villarreal
8 0 1
36
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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