Football
Jupiler Pro League Jupiler Pro League
· Conference League Group - 40
Standard Liege

Standard Liege

0–2

Full Time

Charleroi

Charleroi

🏟 Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liege
🟡 J. Boterberg
📋 Conference League Group - 40
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The Under 2.5 market is supported by strong season trends, with Standard Liege under 2.5 occurring 35 times and Charleroi under 2.5 at 36, while over counts are very low (4 and 3 respectively). H2H data also reflect several low-scoring matches and overall averages near 1.1 goals per game. This convergence of season and head‐to‐head data minimizes risk, offering an ultra-conservative outlook. With a 90% probability and consistent evidence from both team stats and h2h, the evidence strongly supports a low-scoring affair. This bet is chosen as the highest confidence pick. Its simplicity and clear statistical backing offer minimal conflict. Overall, the risk is very low and data-driven.

Best Value

Draw/Away

Double Chance

The Double Chance market covering Draw/Away is backed by a mix of H2H and comparison metrics, with away metrics at 60% in h2h and Poisson favoring the away outcome at 57%. Draw outcomes in H2H occur in 3 out of 10 instances, bolstering the safety net. Combined with a probability of 80%, the bookmaker odds of 1.70 offer a significant value edge. This convergence of multiple independent stats, including goals percentages and defensive records, creates a favorable imbalance despite moderate risk. The calculated value edge is above 30%, making it a strong optimal pick. Evidence signals high consistency supporting this option.

80%

prob.

1.7

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Charleroi Win

Charleroi favored by 57% in Poisson and 60% in h2h metrics.

75%

odds 3.2

Double Chance

Draw/Away

60% away h2h and 57% Poisson favor.

80%

odds 1.7

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Standard Liege
Standard Liege
DLWLW
Charleroi
Charleroi
WDLWL

Current Standings

8
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
30 P 11 W 40 Pts
11
Charleroi
Charleroi
30 P 9 W 34 Pts
2
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
40 P 16 W 37 Pts
3
Charleroi
Charleroi
40 P 14 W 34 Pts

Head to Head

23 May 26
Standard Liege Standard Liege
0–2
Charleroi Charleroi
A
18 Apr 26
Charleroi Charleroi
1–2
Standard Liege Standard Liege
A
18 Jan 26
Charleroi Charleroi
2–0
Standard Liege Standard Liege
H
31 Oct 25
Standard Liege Standard Liege
3–1
Charleroi Charleroi
H
4 May 25
Standard Liege Standard Liege
0–1
Charleroi Charleroi
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
40 28 57
2
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
40 25 53
3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
40 22 43
4
Anderlecht Anderlecht
40 15 33
5
Gent Gent
40 13 29
6
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
40 13 29
1
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
36 13 48
2
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
36 10 41
3
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
36 7 34
4
Dender Dender
36 5 25
1
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
30 19 66
2
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
30 20 63
3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
30 18 57
4
Gent Gent
30 13 45
5
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
30 12 45
6
Anderlecht Anderlecht
30 12 44
7
Genk Genk
30 11 42
8
Standard Liege Standard Liege
30 11 40
9
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
30 10 39
10
Antwerp Antwerp
30 9 35
11
Charleroi Charleroi
30 9 34
12
OH Leuven OH Leuven
30 9 34
13
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
30 8 32
14
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
30 7 31
15
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
30 6 31
16
Dender Dender
30 3 19
1
Genk Genk
40 15 38
2
Standard Liege Standard Liege
40 16 37
3
Charleroi Charleroi
40 14 34
4
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
40 14 33
5
Antwerp Antwerp
40 13 31
6
OH Leuven OH Leuven
40 10 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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