AZ Alkmaar
Full Time
Shakhtar Donetsk
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk
Double Chance
80%
confidence
Our best bet is to play Double Chance: Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk. The provider advice notes 'Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk' and the percentages show a 45% chance for a draw and a 45% chance for an away win, effectively yielding a high combined likelihood. Additionally, the head-to-head metric strongly favors Shakhtar at 80%, reinforcing that they are unlikely to lose. Season data shows AZ Alkmaar have 6 home clean sheets versus Shakhtar’s 1 away clean sheet, underscoring the defensive edge for Shakhtar. The convergence of provider odds with comparison metrics provides a solid basis despite minor conflicts from the Poisson (75% home) figure. Hence, we maintain a conservative estimated probability of 80% for this market.
Best Value
BTTS Yes
BTTS
The best value edge is found in the BTTS market with the prediction 'Yes'. AZ Alkmaar have an average of 2.6 goals at home while Shakhtar score an average of 2.4 away, and a recent 3-3 head-to-head indicates both teams can get on the board. Furthermore, AZ’s last 5 goals total of 10 (2.0 per game) and Shakhtar’s 9 (1.8 per game) support a high BTTS likelihood. With evidence from league goal averages and H2H draw evidence, we see a convergence suggesting an 85% probability. Minor risks exist, but the value edge is strong, estimated at a 30%+ advantage.
85%
prob.
1.8
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Shakhtar Donetsk win
Away win at 45% provider probability
70%
odds 1.45
Double Chance
Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk
Double chance combines 90% (45%+45%) from provider percentages
80%
odds 1.3
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
AZ Alkmaar Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar Shakhtar Donetsk League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk ● | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar ● | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 |
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