Shakhtar Donetsk
Full Time
AZ Alkmaar
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Double Chance: Draw or AZ Alkmaar
Double Chance
90%
confidence
The provider advice clearly recommends a double chance on AZ Alkmaar or a draw with combined probabilities of 45% each, totaling 90%. H2H evidence shows a 3-3 draw which supports a non-risky balanced outcome. Additionally, season stats highlight AZ’s strong form (67% last 5, 83% defense) compared to Shakhtar’s lower home average (1.0 goals) which underlines the double chance bet. Comparison metrics also show balanced form (50% each) and Poisson favors AZ (62%) while disadvantage for Shakhtar (38%). This convergence across independent metrics underpins our high confidence of 90%. However, there is inherent match unpredictability so risk remains low.
Best Value
BTTS: Yes
BTTS
Our optimal value pick is the BTTS (Both Teams to Score) bet, as both sides show objective scoring traits. Shakhtar have averaged 1.6 goals per game at home (total 8 in last 5) and AZ scored 2.0 per game away. The H2H match ended 3-3 and both teams’ season stats support consistent goal scoring. Comparison metrics further affirm balance with 50% in goals and a strong attack from AZ (56% vs 44%). This compounding evidence gives us an 80% probability with a solid estimated value edge. Despite slight risk from occasional scoreless spells, the convergence of scoring stats provides an attractive value edge.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Draw
Provider draw probability at 45%
55%
odds 1.82
Double Chance
Draw or AZ Alkmaar
Combined probability of 90% (45% + 45%)
90%
odds 1.11
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
AZ Alkmaar Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar Shakhtar Donetsk League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk ● | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar ● | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 |
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