Football
UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League
· Quarter-finals
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4–0

Full Time

Bologna

Bologna

🏟 Villa Park, Birmingham
🟡 José María Sánchez Martínez, Spain
📋 Quarter-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Aston Villa or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 Low Risk

The evidence strongly favors Aston Villa when considering multiple metrics. The provider assigns 45% for both a win and draw (total 90%) and the head-to-head shows a 100% edge for Villa, while their home form is 60% compared to Bologna's 40%. Season data reveals Villa’s clean sheet rate and high defensive performance (80% in last 5 def) reinforcing the call. This double chance pick benefits from converging evidence from H2H and season stats. Although the win probability alone is only 45%, using the combination of win or draw boosts confidence. Do note that slight risk remains if the match unexpectedly opens up.

Best Value

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 Goals market stands out as a value play based on season under stats, where Aston Villa posted 9 under results out of 11 games (about 82%) and Bologna had under 2.5 goals in 10 of 13 matches (roughly 77%). Comparison metrics further support a low scoring outcome with home goals at 86% and away at only 14%. The head-to-head evidence and the defensive form enhance overall confidence. With converging evidence from multiple independent stats and minimal conflict, the value edge is robust. Despite inherent risks in low scoring contests, the data aligns well for this market.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Aston Villa Win

Aston Villa 45% win vs 100% H2H advantage

65%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Aston Villa or Draw

90% combined (45% win + 45% draw)

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
LLLWW
Bologna
Bologna
LLWLW

Current Standings

2
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
8 P 7 W 21 Pts
10
Bologna
Bologna
8 P 4 W 15 Pts

Head to Head

16 Apr 26
Aston Villa Aston Villa
4–0
Bologna Bologna
H
9 Apr 26
Bologna Bologna
1–3
Aston Villa Aston Villa
A
25 Sept 25
Aston Villa Aston Villa
1–0
Bologna Bologna
H
22 Oct 24
Aston Villa Aston Villa
2–0
Bologna Bologna
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lyon Lyon
8 7 21
2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
8 7 21
3
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
8 6 19
4
Real Betis Real Betis
8 5 17
5
FC Porto FC Porto
8 5 17
6
SC Braga SC Braga
8 5 17
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
8 5 17
8
AS Roma AS Roma
8 5 16
9
Genk Genk
8 5 16
10
Bologna Bologna
8 4 15
11
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
8 5 15
12
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
8 4 15
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
8 4 14
14
Plzen Plzen
8 3 14
15
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
8 4 14
16
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
8 4 13
17
PAOK PAOK
8 3 12
18
Lille Lille
8 4 12
19
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
8 3 12
20
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
8 3 12
21
Celtic Celtic
8 3 11
22
Ludogorets Ludogorets
8 3 10
23
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
8 3 10
24
Brann Brann
8 2 9
25
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
8 3 9
26
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
8 2 7
27
FCSB FCSB
8 2 7
28
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
8 2 7
29
Feyenoord Feyenoord
8 2 6
30
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
8 2 6
31
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
8 2 6
32
Rangers Rangers
8 1 4
33
Nice Nice
8 1 3
34
Utrecht Utrecht
8 0 1
35
Malmo FF Malmo FF
8 0 1
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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