Football
UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League
· Quarter-finals
FC Porto

FC Porto

1–1

Full Time

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

🏟 Estádio do Dragão, Porto
🟡 Marco Guida, Italy
📋 Quarter-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

FC Porto or Draw

Double Chance

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.33 Medium Risk

Our best bet is the Double Chance: FC Porto or Draw, as provider advice (35% for home win and 35% for draw) complements Porto’s strong recent form (87% in the last 5) and a 59% overall form advantage from the comparison metrics. Despite the H2H data showing 0% for FC Porto and a 2-0 loss in the only head‐to‐head match, the cumulative evidence on form and Poisson (62% favoring Porto) supports a safer outcome. Season stats also back a solid home performance, even as the conflicting H2H introduces some risk. Overall, evidence convergence and moderate risk justify this pick with a balanced outlook.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Goals Under/Under market shows clear value with an Under 2.5 prediction, driven by Porto’s season under_over numbers (8 under vs 2 over) and similar tendencies observed for Nottingham Forest. The H2H match ended 2-0, reinforcing a low-scoring affair, while Poisson distribution (62% for Porto) and season statistics further support the under trend. The alignment of these independent metrics indicates a mispricing, offering an edge of 30%+ value. Although there is some conflict from minor metrics, the convergence of evidence justifies this optimal value bet.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

FC Porto form 59% vs Nottingham Forest 41%

68%

odds 1.47

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw

Provider percentages: 35% home win and 35% draw

75%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FC Porto
FC Porto
WLWDD
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
WWWWD

Current Standings

5
FC Porto
FC Porto
8 P 5 W 17 Pts
13
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
8 P 4 W 14 Pts

Head to Head

16 Apr 26
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
1–0
FC Porto FC Porto
H
9 Apr 26
FC Porto FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
D
23 Oct 25
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
2–0
FC Porto FC Porto
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lyon Lyon
8 7 21
2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
8 7 21
3
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
8 6 19
4
Real Betis Real Betis
8 5 17
5
FC Porto FC Porto
8 5 17
6
SC Braga SC Braga
8 5 17
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
8 5 17
8
AS Roma AS Roma
8 5 16
9
Genk Genk
8 5 16
10
Bologna Bologna
8 4 15
11
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
8 5 15
12
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
8 4 15
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
8 4 14
14
Plzen Plzen
8 3 14
15
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
8 4 14
16
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
8 4 13
17
PAOK PAOK
8 3 12
18
Lille Lille
8 4 12
19
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
8 3 12
20
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
8 3 12
21
Celtic Celtic
8 3 11
22
Ludogorets Ludogorets
8 3 10
23
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
8 3 10
24
Brann Brann
8 2 9
25
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
8 3 9
26
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
8 2 7
27
FCSB FCSB
8 2 7
28
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
8 2 7
29
Feyenoord Feyenoord
8 2 6
30
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
8 2 6
31
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
8 2 6
32
Rangers Rangers
8 1 4
33
Nice Nice
8 1 3
34
Utrecht Utrecht
8 0 1
35
Malmo FF Malmo FF
8 0 1
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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