Football
UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League
· Quarter-finals
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

0–1

Full Time

Arsenal

Arsenal

🏟 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
🟡 D. Siebert
📋 Quarter-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Double Chance: Draw or Arsenal

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 Low Risk

The data converges on a strong double chance option as Sporting’s weaknesses and Arsenal’s form create a safe bet. With comparison metrics showing a 75% h2h advantage and Arsenal’s superior defense at 69% compared to Sporting’s 31%, the evidence supports a draw or Arsenal outcome. Provider advice also clearly states a double chance with draw or Arsenal, and the provider percentages are 45% each for draw and away. Despite mixed H2H scores, the weight of recent performance and season stats consolidates confidence, though the risk remains moderate.

Best Value

Arsenal Win

3-Way Result

A value edge is found in the 3-Way market favoring an Arsenal win, supported by strong h2h (75% for Arsenal) and season metrics, with Arsenal’s last-5 form at 87%. The comparison stats show attacking (52% vs 48%) and defensive (69% vs 31%) superiority that converges to suggest an outright win. This option offers an edge given the market imbalance, even though provider percentages are lower. The convergence of 62% Poisson and 69% goals comparison lends further credibility despite inherent match uncertainties.

82%

prob.

1.22

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Arsenal Win

Arsenal h2h advantage at 75% with 87% last-5 form

82%

odds 1.22

Double Chance

Double Chance: Draw or Arsenal

Provider odds: 45% for draw and away each

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sporting CP
Sporting CP
DDLDW
Arsenal
Arsenal
WDWLD

Current Standings

1
Arsenal
Arsenal
8 P 8 W 24 Pts
7
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
8 P 5 W 16 Pts

Head to Head

15 Apr 26
Arsenal Arsenal
0–0
Sporting CP Sporting CP
D
7 Apr 26
Sporting CP Sporting CP
0–1
Arsenal Arsenal
A
26 Nov 24
Sporting CP Sporting CP
1–5
Arsenal Arsenal
A
16 Mar 23
Arsenal Arsenal
1–1
Sporting CP Sporting CP
A
9 Mar 23
Sporting CP Sporting CP
2–2
Arsenal Arsenal
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
8 8 24
2
Bayern München Bayern München
8 7 21
3
Liverpool Liverpool
8 6 18
4
Tottenham Tottenham
8 5 17
5
Barcelona Barcelona
8 5 16
6
Chelsea Chelsea
8 5 16
7
Sporting CP Sporting CP
8 5 16
8
Manchester City Manchester City
8 5 16
9
Real Madrid Real Madrid
8 5 15
10
Inter Inter
8 5 15
11
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
8 4 14
12
Newcastle Newcastle
8 4 14
13
Juventus Juventus
8 3 13
14
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
8 4 13
15
Atalanta Atalanta
8 4 13
16
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
8 3 12
17
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
8 3 11
18
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
8 3 11
19
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
8 3 10
20
Galatasaray Galatasaray
8 3 10
21
Monaco Monaco
8 2 10
22
Qarabag Qarabag
8 3 10
23
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
8 2 9
24
Benfica Benfica
8 3 9
25
Marseille Marseille
8 3 9
26
Pafos Pafos
8 2 9
27
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
8 3 9
28
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 2 8
29
Athletic Club Athletic Club
8 2 8
30
Napoli Napoli
8 2 8
31
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 2 8
32
Ajax Ajax
8 2 6
33
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
8 1 4
34
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
8 0 3
35
Villarreal Villarreal
8 0 1
36
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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