Sturm Graz
Full Time
Rapid Vienna
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Sturm Graz or Draw
Double Chance
84%
confidence
Our analysis of multiple independent metrics shows strong home attributes for Sturm Graz with a form of 64% and an attacking percentage of 67% compared to Rapid Vienna’s 36% and 33%, respectively. Despite conflicting H2H evidence (only 40% for a home win), adding the likelihood of a draw raises the overall probability. The overall team performance of 54.7% for Sturm Graz further supports a safe combined outcome. Aggregating these figures, the double chance (Sturm Graz or Draw) reaches an estimated probability of 84%. This outcome reduces risk by covering potential disappointments in a single result. The evidence is clear across comparison metrics and season stats. Hence, it stands out as our highest confidence pick.
Best Value
Sturm Graz Win
Second Half Winner
Considering value alone, the Second Half Winner market offers a strong edge. Bookmaker odds of 2.25 imply just a 44.44% chance, but when we factor in Sturm Graz’s dominant home form and season performance, we believe they can pull ahead in the latter phase. While the overall H2H head-to-head shows only a 40% for a home win, we expect a second half surge given their recent form improvements. Assigning an 80% probability here produces a significant value edge relative to the implied probability. This divergence between our conviction and market odds suggests outstanding value. However, the bet does carry additional risk if Rapid Vienna strengthens in the latter period.
80%
prob.
2.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Sturm Graz Win
Sturm Graz overall win likelihood at 54.7%
54%
odds 1.91
Double Chance
Sturm Graz or Draw
Combined outcome probability estimated at 84%
84%
odds 1.28
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz ● | 22 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 37 |
| 4 |  Austria Vienna | 22 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna ● | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 |  WSG Wattens | 22 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 |  SCR Altach | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 9 |  Ried | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 10 |  Wolfsberger AC | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 11 |  Grazer AK | 22 | 4 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC BW Linz | 22 | 4 | 15 |
| 1 | Lask Linz | 32 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ● | 32 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Red Bull Salzburg | 32 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 32 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna ● | 32 | 12 | 27 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 32 | 10 | 25 |
| 7 | Ried | 32 | 12 | 28 |
| 8 | Wolfsberger AC | 32 | 11 | 28 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 32 | 9 | 27 |
| 10 | SCR Altach | 32 | 10 | 27 |
| 11 | WSG Wattens | 32 | 10 | 24 |
| 12 | FC BW Linz | 32 | 8 | 21 |
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