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Bundesliga

· Championship Group - 29

Sturm Graz

1–1

Full Time

Austria Vienna

🏟 Merkur-Arena, Graz

🟡 S. Ebner

📋 Championship Group - 29

📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sturm Graz or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.36 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our analysis favors a cautious approach with Double Chance for Sturm Graz or Draw. Sturm Graz’s strong home form of 64% and impressive defensive rating of 79% provide support, while the risk from H2H is partly mitigated. Season data shows Sturm Graz have recorded 11 clean sheets, adding confidence. Although H2H metrics lean 80% toward Austria Vienna, the overall comparison and season stats tip the balance. This selection offers protection against an unexpected away win. With these converging factors, we assign an 80% probability. The risk level is Medium.

Best Value

★★★★★

Sturm Graz Win

3-Way Result

For best optimal value, we select the 3-Way Result – Sturm Graz Win, which appears underpriced given the evidence. Sturm Graz’s home form at 64% and defensive strength at 79% strongly support their win, while season statistics such as 11 clean sheets further back this view. Despite H2H favoring the away side at 80%, the majority of independent metrics lean towards a home advantage. The bookmaker odds of 2.15 imply only a 46.5% chance, revealing a value edge. We assign an 80% probability to this outcome, translating to a value edge rating of 5. Though risks remain, the convergence of metrics gives solid value.

80%

prob.

2.15

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Sturm Graz Win

Home form at 64% vs Away form at 36%

70%

odds 2.15

Double Chance

Sturm Graz or Draw

11 clean sheets and 79% defensive rating

80%

odds 1.36

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sturm Graz

DDWDD

Austria Vienna

No data

Current Standings

Sturm Graz

22 P 12 W 38 Pts

Austria Vienna

22 P 11 W 36 Pts

Sturm Graz

32 P 16 W 37 Pts

Austria Vienna

32 P 14 W 29 Pts

League Standings

#	Team	P	W	Pts	Form
1	Sturm Graz ●	22	12	38	<nil>
2	Red Bull Salzburg	22	10	37	<nil>
3	Lask Linz	22	11	37	<nil>
4	Austria Vienna ●	22	11	36	<nil>
5	Rapid Vienna	22	9	33	<nil>
6	TSV Hartberg	22	8	33	<nil>
7	WSG Wattens	22	8	31	<nil>
8	SCR Altach	22	7	29	<nil>
9	Ried	22	8	28	<nil>
10	Wolfsberger AC	22	7	26	<nil>
11	Grazer AK	22	4	20	<nil>
12	FC BW Linz	22	4	15	<nil>
1	Lask Linz	32	17	39	<nil>
2	Sturm Graz ●	32	16	37	<nil>
3	Red Bull Salzburg	32	13	29	<nil>
4	Austria Vienna ●	32	14	29	<nil>
5	Rapid Vienna	32	12	27	<nil>
6	TSV Hartberg	32	10	25	<nil>
7	Ried	32	12	28	<nil>
8	Wolfsberger AC	32	11	28	<nil>
9	Grazer AK	32	9	27	<nil>
10	SCR Altach	32	10	27	<nil>
11	WSG Wattens	32	10	24	<nil>
12	FC BW Linz	32	8	21	<nil>

Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

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