Football
UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League
· Round of 16
Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk

1–2

Full Time

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

🏟 Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow
🟡 S. van der Eijk
📋 Round of 16
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 Low Risk

The double chance market is supported by provider advice (45% win and 45% draw) and comparison metrics where Shakhtar’s defensive superiority (71% def for home) and perfect H2H (100% for home) reinforce this call. Season stats and recent form (87% for home in last 5) also favor a safe outcome. Multiple independent metrics converge on minimizing risk. However, note that Poisson distribution and away attack figures are slightly less favorable, so caution is warranted.

Best Value

Yes

BTTS

BTTS emerges as a strong value option with both H2H matches ending 1-3 where both teams scored, and season data shows Lech Poznan never failed to score while Shakhtar had only one failure in home games. The combination of a 100% H2H BTTS occurrence and complementary goal stats gives a noticeable value edge. Despite minor risks inherent in over/under trends, the convergent evidence makes this a compelling pick. The predicted probability of 85% indicates a solid value with a high confidence edge.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

H2H: 100% in favor of Shakhtar

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw

Provider percentages: 45% win, 45% draw

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
WLWWW
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
WDDWW

Current Standings

6
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
6 P 4 W 13 Pts
11
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
6 P 3 W 10 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
6 5 16
2
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
6 4 14
3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
6 4 13
4
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
6 4 13
5
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
6 4 13
6
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
6 4 13
7
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
6 4 13
8
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
6 3 12
9
Lausanne Lausanne
6 3 11
10
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
6 3 10
11
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
6 3 10
12
Samsunspor Samsunspor
6 3 10
13
Celje Celje
6 3 10
14
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
6 3 10
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
6 3 9
16
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
6 2 9
17
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
6 2 9
18
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
6 2 8
19
FC Noah FC Noah
6 2 8
20
Drita Drita
6 2 8
21
KuPS KuPS
6 1 7
22
Shkendija Shkendija
6 2 7
23
Zrinjski Zrinjski
6 2 7
24
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
6 2 7
25
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
6 2 7
26
Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC
6 2 7
27
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
6 2 6
28
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
6 2 6
29
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
6 2 6
30
Breidablik Breidablik
6 1 5
31
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
6 1 4
32
BK Hacken BK Hacken
6 0 3
33
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
6 1 3
34
Shelbourne Shelbourne
6 0 2
35
Aberdeen Aberdeen
6 0 2
36
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
6 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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