Rayo Vallecano
Full Time
Samsunspor
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Rayo Vallecano or Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
The double chance bet on Rayo Vallecano or a draw converges with strong evidence: provider percentages show 45% win and 45% draw, totaling a 90% chance, while comparison metrics highlight a 67% home form and 100% h2h dominance. This pick is reinforced by season stats including Rayo scoring consistently and a superior poisson distribution of 81%. The evidence from both recent form (80% last-5 form for Rayo) and historical head-to-head results underpins a solid outlook. However, external market odds should still be verified given slight variation in provider percentages.
Best Value
Rayo Vallecano or Draw
Double Chance
The double chance selection offers a clear value edge with an estimated 90% probability, combining provider stats (45% win and 45% draw) with a 67% home form and 100% h2h advantage. Comparatively, this option stands out with an inferred value edge of around 30%+ when market odds lean lower than its true probability. Season indicators, such as Rayo’s 21 total goals and robust scoring metrics, further support this pick. Despite minor risks in variance, the convergence of multiple indicators makes this a high-value bet.
90%
prob.
1.3
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win (Rayo Vallecano)
81% poisson and 100% h2h
80%
odds 1.8
Double Chance
Rayo Vallecano or Draw
45% win + 45% draw equaling 90%
90%
odds 1.3
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano ● | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor ● | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 |
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