SC Freiburg
Full Time
Genk
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Draw/Genk
Double Chance
90%
confidence
The data shows a strong composite signal favoring Genk, with provider percentages of 45% each for draw and away win, making Double Chance (Draw/Genk) a very safe bet. Comparison metrics indicate a 65% form edge for Genk and a 100% h2h win advantage. Additionally, Genk’s last 5 form at 87% and dominant attacking (100% att) reinforce this call. Historical evidence from the only H2H match (1-0 win) supports Genk’s supremacy. Season stats and overall team performance add further backing, though slight risks exist due to mixed provider estimates. Overall, multiple independent metrics align to drive a high confidence of 90%.
Best Value
Under 3.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
The Goals Over/Under market shows compelling value, with an expected total of around 2.9 goals combined (1.1 for SC Freiburg and 1.8 for Genk) comfortably under the 3.5 threshold. SC Freiburg’s under 3.5 record (0 over and 9 under) and Genk’s similar underlying trends create a convergence of evidence. The Poisson distribution also favors home at 66%, which in this context implies fewer goals than the market line. Given these aligned season stats, tactical setups, and H2H tendencies, this market offers a significant value edge. Although inherent scoring volatility exists, the data converges strongly, yielding a probability of 85%.
85%
prob.
1.5
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Genk Win
Genk last 5 form at 87% and 100% h2h advantage
80%
odds 1.8
Double Chance
Draw/Genk
Provider draw and away percentages at 45% each summing to 90%
90%
odds 1.35
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 |  FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg ● | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk ● | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Bologna | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  PAOK | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 21 |  Celtic | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 22 |  Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 24 |  Brann | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 25 |  BSC Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 27 |  FCSB | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 28 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 29 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 30 |  FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 31 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 32 |  Rangers | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 33 |  Nice | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| 34 |  Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 35 |  Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 |
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