Based on multiple metrics, a Home Win is favored with a 93% H2H advantage and a 72% Poisson edge. The comparison metrics show a 79% goal advantage for the home side and they are predicted to win in 62.2% of total cases. Recent H2H matches indicate decisive performances in favor of the home team. Season stats further support an advantage with Torpedo Zhodino having a stronger attack (64%) compared to FC Vitebsk's 36%. Although the last-5 form is mixed, the convergence of H2H (93%) and Poisson (72%) makes it compelling. We remain ultra-conservative assigning a 90% confidence level.