The evidence strongly suggests an Away Win with 93% h2h support and away attack at 59% compared to home at 41%. Recent form also favors the away side with 60% in their last 5, despite Poisson indicating 61% for home. H2H results clearly show away superiority and attacking metrics back this up. The risk is moderated by the slight conflict from Poisson stats, but multiple independent metrics align on the away team. Overall, the data from both comparison (33% vs 67% in goals) and H2H (93% in favor) provide a robust rationale. Confidence remains high given these converging factors.