Football
Super League Super League
· Regular Season - 17
Beijing Guoan

Beijing Guoan

vs

Not Started

Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng

📋 Regular Season - 17
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Beijing Guoan or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

Our best bet is Double Chance: Beijing Guoan or Draw. Beijing’s Poisson distribution at 61% and defensive strength at 59% support a low risk outcome, while past head‐to-head shows two goalless draws among other balanced results. The recent season data indicates a moderate scoring trend and solid home defense for Beijing. This convergence of data gives us a 80% confidence, though inherent unpredictability suggests a medium risk.

Best Value

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 Goals market offers a value edge with evidence from season under/over stats: Beijing recorded 11 unders and Shandong 10 unders, reflecting a defensive trend. Comparison metrics and recent match trends further support a low-scoring encounter while H2H includes several low goal outcomes. This convergence across metrics results in an 80% probability and a strong estimated edge. Risks remain due to occasional high scoring, but the value is compelling.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

35.7% draw rate (5 draws in 14 league fixtures)

70%

odds 1.43

Double Chance

Beijing Guoan or Draw

Beijing defensive rating at 59% versus 41% for opponents

80%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan
WDLWD
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng
WDLWD

Current Standings

5
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng
15 P 7 W 18 Pts
10
Beijing Guoan
Beijing Guoan
15 P 5 W 15 Pts

Head to Head

14 Mar 26
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
2–1
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
H
31 Aug 25
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
6–0
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
H
19 Apr 25
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
6–1
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
H
30 Jun 24
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
2–0
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
H
9 Mar 24
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
0–0
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG
30 20 66
2
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
30 19 64
3
Chengdu Better City Chengdu Better City
30 17 60
4
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
30 17 57
5
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
30 15 53
6
Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda
30 12 44
7
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
30 10 42
8
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
30 11 42
9
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
30 10 40
10
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
30 10 37
11
Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing
30 9 36
12
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
30 8 27
13
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
30 6 25
14
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
30 5 25
15
Meizhou Kejia Meizhou Kejia
30 5 21
16
Changchun Yatai Changchun Yatai
30 4 19
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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