Beijing Guoan
Full Time
Shandong Luneng
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Beijing Guoan or Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
Our best bet is Double Chance: Beijing Guoan or Draw. Beijing’s Poisson distribution at 61% and defensive strength at 59% support a low risk outcome, while past head‐to-head shows two goalless draws among other balanced results. The recent season data indicates a moderate scoring trend and solid home defense for Beijing. This convergence of data gives us a 80% confidence, though inherent unpredictability suggests a medium risk.
Best Value
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
The Under 2.5 Goals market offers a value edge with evidence from season under/over stats: Beijing recorded 11 unders and Shandong 10 unders, reflecting a defensive trend. Comparison metrics and recent match trends further support a low-scoring encounter while H2H includes several low goal outcomes. This convergence across metrics results in an 80% probability and a strong estimated edge. Risks remain due to occasional high scoring, but the value is compelling.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Draw
35.7% draw rate (5 draws in 14 league fixtures)
70%
odds 1.43
Double Chance
Beijing Guoan or Draw
Beijing defensive rating at 59% versus 41% for opponents
80%
odds 1.25
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 20 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 20 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 25 |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng ● | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan ● | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Shenyang Urban | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 19 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 8 | 19 |
| 12 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 19 | 6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Henan Jianye | 18 | 7 | 18 |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 19 | 6 | 14 |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 19 | 4 | 14 |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 20 | 6 | 14 |
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