Chengdu Better City
Full Time
Shandong Luneng
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Chengdu Better City or Draw
Double Chance
85%
confidence
Our analysis shows that Chengdu Better City have strong supporting metrics with a Poisson distribution of 88% and a superior home H2H record of 60%. The double chance market is appealing given Chengdu’s defensive strength at 71% compared to Shandong’s 29%, and Chengdu’s recent 60% form at home. This provides a safety net as even a draw secures a payout. The convergence of these indicators gives us a robust 85% confidence level, though there is always inherent risk in football outcomes. The evidence from season stats and last-5 performance further supports this selection. Overall, the data points to a low risk double chance outcome.
Best Value
Chengdu Better City Win
3-Way Result
For value, our analysis of the 3-Way Result market shows that Chengdu Better City win offers a significant value edge. With a Poisson distribution for home winning at 88% and the head-to-head favoring Chengdu at 60%, we assess an 85% probability for a home win. The bookmaker odds of 1.85 imply an inverse probability of about 54%, resulting in an approximate value edge of 31%. Season stats also lean in Chengdu’s favor, despite Shandong’s stronger recent attack. This convergence of independent metrics provides a compelling risk-adjusted opportunity. Thus, we see this prediction as a strong value play.
85%
prob.
1.85
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Chengdu Better City Win
Poisson distribution: 88% for home vs 12% for away
85%
odds 1.85
Double Chance
Chengdu Better City or Draw
Defense metrics: 71% for Chengdu vs 29% for Shandong
85%
odds 1.28
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Chengdu Better City Shandong Luneng Chengdu Better City Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng Chengdu Better City Shandong Luneng Chengdu Better City Shandong Luneng Chengdu Better City +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 30 | 20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 30 | 19 | 64 |
| 3 | Chengdu Better City ● | 30 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 30 | 17 | 57 |
| 5 | Shandong Luneng ● | 30 | 15 | 53 |
| 6 |  Tianjin Teda | 30 | 12 | 44 |
| 7 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 30 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 |  Yunnan Yukun | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 10 | 40 |
| 10 |  Henan Jianye | 30 | 10 | 37 |
| 11 |  Dalian Zhixing | 30 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 30 | 8 | 27 |
| 13 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 6 | 25 |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 30 | 5 | 25 |
| 15 |  Meizhou Kejia | 30 | 5 | 21 |
| 16 |  Changchun Yatai | 30 | 4 | 19 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Chengdu Better City
1.91
Draw
3.90
Shandong Luneng
3.50
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.53
Under 2.5
2.40
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.50
No
2.50
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