Northcote City
Full Time
Langwarrin
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Northcote City or Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
Northcote City's strong home form is evident from their unbeaten record at home (5 wins and 2 draws in 7 fixtures) combined with a 57% overall team strength and a 73% defensive rating. Their last-5 defensive metric of 70% contrasts sharply with Langwarrin’s 20%, providing safety in a double chance bet. H2H results are evenly split but season stats favor a non-loss for the home side. This pick minimizes risk by capturing Northcote City's non-loss potential in a secure market. The evidence from season performance and comparison metrics converges on a safe outcome.
Best Value
Northcote City Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way Result for a Northcote City win draws strong support from an 83% Poisson likelihood combined with a 73% defensive rating, against Langwarrin’s much lower 27%. With a season record of 5 wins from 7 home matches and corroborated by favorable comparison metrics, the evidence is compelling. H2H splits are even but the overall home advantage tilts the balance. The fair odds at this probability would be approximately 1.18, making the bookmaker's quote of 1.53 deliver a value edge of around 30%. This convergence of statistics indicates a high value pick despite the inherent risks of an away attacking threat.
85%
prob.
1.53
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Northcote City Win
Poisson 83% for home
85%
odds 1.53
Double Chance
Northcote City or Draw
Home non-loss record 100% (5W,2D)
90%
odds 1.12
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Northcote City Langwarrin Langwarrin Northcote City Langwarrin Northcote City Northcote City Langwarrin Northcote City Langwarrin +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bentleigh Greens | 26 | 18 | 58 |
| 2 |  Sunshine Georgies | 26 | 19 | 57 |
| 3 |  Melbourne City II | 26 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 |  Western United II | 26 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 |  Brunswick City | 26 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 |  North Sunshine Eagles | 26 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 |  Melbourne Srbija | 26 | 10 | 37 |
| 8 |  Bulleen Lions | 26 | 10 | 33 |
| 9 | Northcote City ● | 26 | 9 | 32 |
| 10 | Langwarrin ● | 26 | 9 | 29 |
| 11 |  Manningham United Blues | 26 | 6 | 25 |
| 12 |  Eastern Lions | 26 | 6 | 22 |
| 13 |  Kingston City | 26 | 5 | 21 |
| 14 |  Moreland City | 26 | 6 | 20 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Northcote City
1.53
Draw
4.33
Langwarrin
4.50
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.33
Under 2.5
3.25
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