Football
Ykkönen Ykkönen
· Group Stage
KuPS Akatemia

KuPS Akatemia

4–1

Full Time

KPV-j

KPV-j

🏟 Vare Areena, Kuopio
📋 Group Stage
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

KuPS Akatemia or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.14 bookmaker Low Risk

Our best bet is Double Chance 'KuPS Akatemia or Draw' given the strong home Poisson probability of 87% and defensive metric of 70%, which provide solid backing despite the home team’s low recent form (25%). Season data shows KuPS Akatemia recorded 2 clean sheets, enhancing the likelihood of avoiding a loss. The comparison metrics (total 52.5% for home) further support this safer wager. Although H2H trends show a 40% win rate for the home side, the safe cover of a double chance mitigates risk. Multiple independent factors converge to give us confidence in this outcome. Overall, the evidence supports this as a prudent selection.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The 'Under 2.5' prediction in Goals Over/Under offers the best value with an 80% probability, as both teams display under scoring tendencies with KuPS Akatemia under over showing 8 under results in 9 matches and KPV-j similarly favoring the under with 8 under outcomes in away fixtures. Seasonal averages (1.0 for KuPS and 0.7 for KPV-j) support a low-scoring affair. Comparison metrics and historical head-to-head results further suggest limited goals in this matchup. Although the odds fallback to 100, the implied probability is extremely low, yielding a significant value edge. Convergence of metrics indicates strong value despite inherent match uncertainties. This option meets our criteria for value with ample edge.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

KuPS Akatemia Win

Home Poisson at 87% & defense at 70%

78%

odds 1.44

Double Chance

KuPS Akatemia or Draw

Clean sheets: 2 total for home

85%

odds 1.14

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

KuPS Akatemia
KuPS Akatemia
LDWWL
KPV-j
KPV-j
LLWLL

Current Standings

10
KuPS Akatemia
KuPS Akatemia
10 P 2 W 7 Pts
12
KPV-j
KPV-j
10 P 1 W 5 Pts

Head to Head

5 Jun 26
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
4–1
KPV-j KPV-j
H
19 Oct 25
KPV-j KPV-j
1–3
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
A
20 Jul 25
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
1–0
KPV-j KPV-j
H
3 May 25
KPV-j KPV-j
1–0
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
H
27 Jul 24
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
1–2
KPV-j KPV-j
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
MP MP
22 11 39
2
OLS OLS
22 8 34
3
KPV-j KPV-j
22 10 34
4
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
22 10 33
5
JJK JJK
22 9 31
6
Tampere United Tampere United
22 9 31
7
FC jazz FC jazz
22 10 30
8
PKKU PKKU
22 8 30
9
Inter Turku II Inter Turku II
22 8 29
10
Rops Rops
22 7 25
11
EPS EPS
22 7 24
12
Atlantis Atlantis
22 7 23
1
PKKU PKKU
27 11 40
2
Rops Rops
27 11 38
3
Inter Turku II Inter Turku II
27 10 35
4
FC jazz FC jazz
27 11 33
5
EPS EPS
27 10 33
6
Atlantis Atlantis
27 8 26
1
MP MP
27 14 50
2
OLS OLS
27 12 47
3
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
27 13 43
4
KPV-j KPV-j
27 12 40
5
JJK JJK
27 10 34
6
Tampere United Tampere United
27 9 31
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

KuPS Akatemia

1.44

Draw

4.50

KPV-j

5.00

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.33

Under 2.5

3.40

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.44

No

2.62

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