The season data for both teams shows extremely low scoring with Mostaganem recording under 2.5 goals in 28 of 29 home matches and El Bayadh in 29 of 29 away games. This aligns with the overall trend from H2H matches that have mostly ended with 0-0 or 1-1 scores. Comparison metrics such as away form at 67% and H2H at 71% further support a low goal environment despite a 61% Poisson for the home side. With a predicted probability of 92%, the evidence is overwhelmingly consistent and the risk is low. Multiple independent metrics converge on a low scoring game, making this a strong and reliable pick.