Football
Division 2 - Västra Götaland Division 2 - Västra Götaland
· Västra Götaland - 11
Jonsered

Jonsered

4–2

Full Time

Galtabacks

Galtabacks

📋 Västra Götaland - 11
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Jonsered or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 bookmaker Low Risk

The data strongly lean towards a safe outcome with Jonsered benefiting from a 67% home form and a 64% Poisson probability, indicating they dominate key metrics. Double Chance 'Jonsered or Draw' minimizes exposure and aligns with Jonsered's superior season performance and 8 home goals scored. This pick is supported by a 53.0% overall home dominance compared to 47.3% away. Although Galtabacks show a higher attacking rate in league stats (63% vs 38%), the odds offer a conservative margin. The selection reflects convergence of comparative and season statistics with a lower risk profile. Therefore, this outcome carries a probability of 85% with minimized variance.

Best Value

Jonsered Win

3-Way Result

Multiple independent metrics support a Jonsered win, with a 67% home form and a 64% Poisson probability favoring them. Their seasonal record, including 8 home goals and a stronger overall performance compared to the away side, enhances this prediction. Even though Galtabacks boast a 63% attacking metric, the balance of evidence tips in Jonsered’s favour. The bookmaker odds of 1.73 represent a significant value edge relative to an implied fair odds of around 1.25, marking roughly a 38% edge. With this convergence of evidence and acceptable risk, the pick is set at 80% probability. The value edge qualifies this as the optimal value option with a value rating of 5.

80%

prob.

1.73

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Jonsered Win

67% home form coupled with 64% Poisson for Jonsered

80%

odds 1.73

Double Chance

Jonsered or Draw

67% home form versus 33% away form

85%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Jonsered
Jonsered
DWWWW
Galtabacks
Galtabacks
DLLLW

Current Standings

3
Jonsered
Jonsered
10 P 5 W 17 Pts
12
Galtabacks
Galtabacks
10 P 2 W 8 Pts

Head to Head

5 Jun 26
Jonsered Jonsered
4–2
Galtabacks Galtabacks
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Laholm Laholm
26 19 60
2
Tvååker Tvååker
26 17 57
3
Åstorp Åstorp
26 13 45
4
Onsala Onsala
26 13 44
5
Västra Frölunda Västra Frölunda
26 13 42
6
Lindome Lindome
26 13 41
7
Qviding FIF Qviding FIF
26 11 38
8
Jonsered Jonsered
26 10 38
9
Astrio Astrio
26 10 36
10
Landvetter IS Landvetter IS
26 10 33
11
Hestrafor Hestrafor
26 6 26
12
Böljan Böljan
26 6 23
13
Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF
26 7 22
14
Bergdalens Bergdalens
26 2 9
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Jonsered

1.73

Draw

4.00

Galtabacks

3.50

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.44

Under 2.5

2.62

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.44

No

2.62

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