Football
Premier League Premier League
· Championship Group - 31
Penybont

Penybont

0–2

Full Time

Barry Town

Barry Town

🏟 Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
🟡 J. A. Jones
📋 Championship Group - 31
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw or Barry Town

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 Low Risk

Our best bet is the Double Chance on Draw or Barry Town, supported by strong away form and provider odds. Barry Town’s form stands at 91% compared to Penybont’s 9% and the provider percentages show 45% for a draw and 45% for an away win, summing to 90%. H2H results are evenly split, but recent season stats favor Barry Town with a higher winning rate. Penybont’s low last‐5 form of 7% contrasts with Barry Town’s 67%. This alignment across multiple metrics gives us confidence despite mixed H2H outcomes. We assign a probability of 85%, with low risk due to converging evidence.

Best Value

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

The best optimal value lies in the Goals Over/Under market, where we predict Under 2.5 Goals. Both teams’ season under/over thresholds indicate a heavy bias towards Under, with home under 2.5 at 25 occurrences and similar figures for the away side. Additionally, Penybont’s average goals for of 1.3 and Barry Town’s 1.4 combine to roughly 2.7, yet recent last-5 matches show lower combined scoring (0.6 and 1.2 respectively), favoring a low-scoring match. This creates a value edge given potential mispricing in the market. Considering these factors, we assign an 82% probability with a clear 30%+ edge.

82%

prob.

1.22

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Barry Town Win

Away team form at 91% vs home form at 9%

70%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Draw or Barry Town

Provider percentages: 45% draw and 45% away

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Penybont
Penybont
LLLLD
Barry Town
Barry Town
LWWWW

Current Standings

3
Barry Town
Barry Town
32 P 12 W 46 Pts
6
Penybont
Penybont
32 P 11 W 41 Pts
3
Penybont
Penybont
22 P 11 W 38 Pts
5
Barry Town
Barry Town
22 P 7 W 30 Pts

Head to Head

3 Apr 26
Penybont Penybont
0–2
Barry Town Barry Town
A
3 Mar 26
Barry Town Barry Town
1–0
Penybont Penybont
H
9 Dec 25
Penybont Penybont
1–1
Barry Town Barry Town
D
22 Aug 25
Barry Town Barry Town
2–3
Penybont Penybont
A
26 Dec 24
Barry Town Barry Town
1–2
Penybont Penybont
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
The New Saints The New Saints
32 26 78
2
Penybont Penybont
32 19 64
3
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
32 13 51
4
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
32 14 48
5
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
32 12 44
6
Bala Town Bala Town
32 8 37
1
Barry Town Barry Town
32 15 52
2
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
32 12 42
3
Flint Town United Flint Town United
32 13 42
4
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
32 9 32
5
Newtown AFC Newtown AFC
32 6 26
6
Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town
32 6 21
1
The New Saints The New Saints
22 17 51
2
Penybont Penybont
22 15 50
3
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
22 11 40
4
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
22 10 34
5
Bala Town Bala Town
22 7 32
6
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
22 9 32
7
Barry Town Barry Town
22 8 30
8
GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC
22 7 26
9
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
22 6 21
10
Flint Town United Flint Town United
22 6 20
11
Newtown AFC Newtown AFC
22 5 19
12
Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town
22 4 14
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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