Penybont
Full Time
Barry Town
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Draw or Barry Town
Double Chance
85%
confidence
Our best bet is the Double Chance on Draw or Barry Town, supported by strong away form and provider odds. Barry Town’s form stands at 91% compared to Penybont’s 9% and the provider percentages show 45% for a draw and 45% for an away win, summing to 90%. H2H results are evenly split, but recent season stats favor Barry Town with a higher winning rate. Penybont’s low last‐5 form of 7% contrasts with Barry Town’s 67%. This alignment across multiple metrics gives us confidence despite mixed H2H outcomes. We assign a probability of 85%, with low risk due to converging evidence.
Best Value
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
The best optimal value lies in the Goals Over/Under market, where we predict Under 2.5 Goals. Both teams’ season under/over thresholds indicate a heavy bias towards Under, with home under 2.5 at 25 occurrences and similar figures for the away side. Additionally, Penybont’s average goals for of 1.3 and Barry Town’s 1.4 combine to roughly 2.7, yet recent last-5 matches show lower combined scoring (0.6 and 1.2 respectively), favoring a low-scoring match. This creates a value edge given potential mispricing in the market. Considering these factors, we assign an 82% probability with a clear 30%+ edge.
82%
prob.
1.22
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Barry Town Win
Away team form at 91% vs home form at 9%
70%
odds 1.54
Double Chance
Draw or Barry Town
Provider percentages: 45% draw and 45% away
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 32 | 26 | 80 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 32 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 | Barry Town ● | 32 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Penybont ● | 32 | 11 | 41 |
| 1 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 32 | 14 | 48 |
| 2 |  Briton Ferry | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 |  Cardiff MET | 32 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 |  Flint Town United | 32 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 32 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 |  llanelli AFC | 32 | 3 | 13 |
| 1 | The New Saints | 22 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Penybont ● | 22 | 11 | 38 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 22 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | Barry Town ● | 22 | 7 | 30 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 22 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 25 |
| 9 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 | Bala Town | 22 | 6 | 23 |
| 11 | Flint Town United | 22 | 5 | 21 |
| 12 | llanelli AFC | 22 | 2 | 8 |
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