Football
J1 League J1 League
· Regular Season - 18
Kashima

Kashima

1–0

Full Time

FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo

🏟 Mercari Stadium, Kashima
🟡 H. Kimura
📋 Regular Season - 18
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Kashima or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.4 bookmaker Low Risk

Double Chance appears very safe given Kashima's strong indicators with a 69% Poisson advantage at home and a 60% H2H edge. Season data shows Kashima secured 6 clean sheets at home and have never failed to score, supporting a safe fallback. The comparative metrics (home att 56% vs away 44%) and balanced recent form (80% in last 5 for both) further bolster this pick. This convergence makes predicting 'Kashima or Draw' a low-risk option with high consistency.

Best Value

Kashima Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way market may offer significant value with Kashima’s strong home metrics. With a Poisson distribution of 69% favoring home outcomes and H2H showing a 60% home advantage, Kashima’s win chance is robust. Further, season stats highlight 6 home clean sheets and a flawless scoring record at home, enhancing the case. Given the bookmaker odds of 2.45 for a Kashima win, the implied probability is far lower than our estimated 80%, yielding a strong value edge.

80%

prob.

2.45

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Kashima Win

Poisson 69% home vs 31% away

80%

odds 2.45

Double Chance

Kashima or Draw

H2H 60% home advantage

90%

odds 1.4

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Kashima
Kashima
WLWWW
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
WWWWL

Current Standings

1
Kashima
Kashima
18 P 15 W 45 Pts
2
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
18 P 13 W 37 Pts

Head to Head

23 May 26
Kashima Kashima
1–0
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
H
7 Feb 26
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
1–1
Kashima Kashima
H
10 Aug 25
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
0–1
Kashima Kashima
A
1 Mar 25
Kashima Kashima
2–0
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
H
20 Jul 24
Kashima Kashima
2–1
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
38 23 76
2
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
38 21 75
3
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
38 19 68
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
38 20 68
5
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
38 18 64
6
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
38 17 60
7
Urawa Urawa
38 16 59
8
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
38 15 57
9
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
38 17 57
10
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
38 14 52
11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
38 13 50
12
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
38 12 48
13
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
38 12 45
14
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
38 11 44
15
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
38 12 43
16
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
38 11 43
17
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
38 11 43
18
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
38 9 35
19
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
38 8 32
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
38 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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