Football
Primera B Metropolitana Primera B Metropolitana
· Regular Season - 19
Ituzaingó

Ituzaingó

vs

Not Started

Real Pilar

Real Pilar

🏟 Estadio Carlos Sacaan
📋 Regular Season - 19
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Real Pilar Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.05 bookmaker Low Risk

Considering multiple independent metrics, Real Pilar stands out with an 80% form advantage and an 83% Poisson scoring value, aligning with their season average of 1.2 goals per game. The H2H record, with 5 out of 8 matches ending 0-0 and 2 away wins, supports a lean towards Real Pilar win despite a rare home win by Ituzaingó. Season stats show Real Pilar scoring 22 goals compared to Ituzaingó’s 10, reinforcing this pick. While historical head-to-head results add some variability, the weight of recent form and attack metrics makes the away win plausible. Therefore, the prediction is Real Pilar Win with confidence. This analysis carries a low risk given multiple clear directional signals.

Best Value

Real Pilar Win

Second Half Winner

For optimal value, the Second Half Winner market offers a strong edge with Real Pilar expected to dominate after the break. The calculated probability of an 85% second half win contrasts sharply with the bookmaker’s implied probability of 41.7% from odds of 2.40. This significant gap, alongside season data showing Real Pilar’s superior scoring average and fewer failed-to-score instances, indicates a robust value opportunity. The convergence of an 85% probability from comparison and season metrics supports this prediction, though minor H2H indecisions add a slight risk. Overall, the evidence points to Real Pilar winning the second half with a high value edge.

85%

prob.

2.4

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Real Pilar Win

Real Pilar form at 80% vs Ituzaingó’s 20%

80%

odds 2.05

Double Chance

Draw/Away

7 out of 8 H2H matches favor Draw/Away (87.5%)

88%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Ituzaingó
Ituzaingó
LLLLD
Real Pilar
Real Pilar
LDDWD

Current Standings

9
Real Pilar
Real Pilar
18 P 8 W 28 Pts
22
Ituzaingó
Ituzaingó
18 P 0 W 5 Pts

Head to Head

13 Jul 24
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
0–0
Real Pilar Real Pilar
D
10 Feb 24
Real Pilar Real Pilar
0–0
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
D
8 Aug 21
Real Pilar Real Pilar
0–1
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
A
21 Mar 21
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
2–1
Real Pilar Real Pilar
H
23 Jan 21
Real Pilar Real Pilar
0–0
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Midland Midland
20 11 38
2
Real Pilar Real Pilar
20 10 37
3
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
20 10 35
4
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
20 9 35
5
Flandria Flandria
20 8 33
6
Sacachispas Sacachispas
20 7 29
7
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere
20 7 29
8
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
20 8 29
9
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
20 7 28
10
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
20 6 27
11
Comunicaciones Comunicaciones
20 7 27
12
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
20 6 26
13
Liniers Liniers
20 7 26
14
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
20 6 25
15
Excursionistas Excursionistas
20 7 24
16
Acassuso Acassuso
20 6 24
17
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
20 6 23
18
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
20 4 19
19
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
20 3 17
20
Dock Sud Dock Sud
20 2 15
21
Fénix Fénix
20 2 13
1
Midland Midland
20 11 40
2
Real Pilar Real Pilar
20 10 36
3
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
20 10 35
4
Acassuso Acassuso
20 9 34
5
Excursionistas Excursionistas
20 9 32
6
Dock Sud Dock Sud
20 8 31
7
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
20 9 30
8
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
20 7 28
9
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
20 7 28
10
Liniers Liniers
20 8 27
11
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
20 5 26
12
Comunicaciones Comunicaciones
20 7 25
13
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere
20 5 24
14
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
20 5 24
15
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
20 6 24
16
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
20 5 23
17
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
20 5 23
18
Flandria Flandria
20 5 22
19
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
20 4 21
20
Sacachispas Sacachispas
20 2 15
21
Fénix Fénix
20 1 10
1
Midland Midland
40 22 78
2
Real Pilar Real Pilar
40 20 73
3
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
40 16 58
4
Deportivo Armenio Deportivo Armenio
40 14 58
5
Acassuso Acassuso
40 15 58
6
Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos
40 15 57
7
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
40 14 56
8
Excursionistas Excursionistas
40 16 56
9
Flandria Flandria
40 13 55
10
Brown DE Adrogue Brown DE Adrogue
40 13 54
11
Deportivo Laferrere Deportivo Laferrere
40 12 53
12
Liniers Liniers
40 15 53
13
San Martín Burzaco San Martín Burzaco
40 13 52
14
Comunicaciones Comunicaciones
40 14 52
15
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
40 13 52
16
Argentino Quilmes Argentino Quilmes
40 11 49
17
Dock Sud Dock Sud
40 10 46
18
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
40 10 45
19
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
40 9 45
20
Sacachispas Sacachispas
40 9 44
21
Fénix Fénix
40 3 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Ituzaingó

3.80

Draw

3.00

Real Pilar

1.95

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.50

Under 2.5

1.50

Both Teams Score

Yes

2.20

No

1.62

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