Football
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional
· Regular Season - 18
Almagro

Almagro

vs

Not Started

Agropecuario

Agropecuario

🏟 Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros
📋 Regular Season - 18
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Almagro

Team to Score First

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.67 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our analysis indicates that Almagro is strongly favored to kick off the scoring given their average of 1.0 goal in their last 5 matches compared to Agropecuario’s 0.2, and the home attack stands at 83% versus only 17% for the away side. The comparison metrics (form: 64% vs 36% and Poisson: 65% vs 35%) further support a robust home attacking impetus. H2H evidence shows several 1-1 draws, but the immediate scoring ability seems skewed to the home side. Season statistics also back this with sharper home goal averages while Agropecuario struggle to threaten early. Despite mixed H2H results, the weight of recent form and attack favors an early home goal. We therefore predict “Team to Score First: Almagro” with solid confidence.

Best Value

Almagro or Draw

Double Chance

Assessing value, the Double Chance market offers a compelling case with home form at 64% and the safety of including a draw. The alignment between the comparison metrics and seasonal form (notably, home win/draw combining strengths from an 83% attack and 64% form) suggests an 82% likelihood for not losing. H2H data, though favoring away in wins, still sees several draws which boost the probability of a combined outcome. The bookmaker odds of 1.36 for ‘Almagro or Draw’ represent an attractive value when contrasted against fair odds near 1.18. This convergence of evidence points to a strong value bet despite inherent match uncertainties. We therefore favor this market as our best optimal pick.

82%

prob.

1.36

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

3 out of 6 H2H matches ended 1-1 (50%).

40%

odds 2.8

Double Chance

Almagro or Draw

Home form at 64% combined with 83% attack.

82%

odds 1.36

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Almagro
Almagro
DLLLL
Agropecuario
Agropecuario
WWLLL

Current Standings

16
Agropecuario
Agropecuario
16 P 4 W 18 Pts
18
Almagro
Almagro
16 P 4 W 16 Pts

Head to Head

20 Aug 23
Agropecuario Agropecuario
1–1
Almagro Almagro
D
8 Apr 23
Almagro Almagro
0–1
Agropecuario Agropecuario
A
5 Mar 22
Agropecuario Agropecuario
2–2
Almagro Almagro
D
1 Mar 19
Almagro Almagro
1–1
Agropecuario Agropecuario
D
8 May 18
Almagro Almagro
0–2
Agropecuario Agropecuario
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
16 9 31
2
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
16 8 28
3
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
16 6 27
4
Los Andes Los Andes
16 6 26
5
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
16 6 26
6
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
16 6 25
7
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
16 6 24
8
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
16 4 20
9
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
16 5 20
10
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
16 5 20
11
San Miguel San Miguel
16 4 20
12
Acassuso Acassuso
16 5 18
13
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
16 3 17
14
Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba
16 4 17
15
San Telmo San Telmo
16 3 16
16
All Boys All Boys
16 3 16
17
Central Norte Central Norte
16 3 14
18
Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever
16 1 9
1
Atlanta Atlanta
16 9 30
2
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
15 8 27
3
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
16 6 26
4
Midland Midland
16 7 25
5
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
16 7 25
6
Temperley Temperley
16 5 23
7
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
16 5 22
8
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
16 6 21
9
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
15 5 20
10
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
16 5 20
11
Patronato Patronato
16 4 19
12
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
16 5 19
13
Quilmes Quilmes
16 4 18
14
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
14 4 18
15
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
16 5 18
16
Agropecuario Agropecuario
16 4 18
17
Colegiales Colegiales
16 4 17
18
Almagro Almagro
16 4 16
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Almagro

2.50

Draw

2.88

Agropecuario

3.20

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.88

Under 2.5

1.40

Both Teams Score

Yes

2.25

No

1.57

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