Football
Primera Nacional Primera Nacional
· Regular Season - 4
Nueva Chicago

Nueva Chicago

vs

Not Started

Atletico DE Rafaela

Atletico DE Rafaela

🏟 Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The strongest signal comes from the low-scoring trend seen in Nueva Chicago’s matches, with 15 under outcomes out of 16 games and a 0.9 average goals scored. The overall season data supports a tight game with a 15 vs. 1 under 2.5 record in Nueva Chicago’s fixtures. H2H evidence also underlines cautious scoring, with two out of six matches having both teams failing to score. Comparison metrics, such as an 82% home advantage in goals, further reinforce a low-scoring outing. Despite a slight conflicting form factor of only 27% in the last five, the convergence of under/over thresholds and season stats is compelling. Therefore, the Under 2.5 goals market has a strong probability of 90%.

Best Value

Nueva Chicago Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result picking Nueva Chicago Win shows significant value given the odds of 2.35 and a strong implied home advantage backed by a 85% in H2H and 82% in the goals comparison metric. Although home form is at 36%, the attacking strength at 67% and the head-to-head record are dominant indicators. Season stats also highlight Nueva Chicago’s scoring edge in historical matchups, where they have recorded three wins in H2H encounters. The vast gap between the bookmaker implied probability of about 42.6% and our estimated probability of 80% provides a value edge of approximately 37%. This convergence of independent metrics justifies the selection despite the slight risk inherent due to form inconsistency. With an 80% confidence level, this option meets the optimal criteria.

80%

prob.

2.35

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Nueva Chicago Win

H2H: 85% advantage

80%

odds 2.35

Double Chance

Nueva Chicago or Draw

Double Chance: 85% probability evidence

85%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
LLDDD
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atletico DE Rafaela
WLDWD

Current Standings

6
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atletico DE Rafaela
17 P 7 W 26 Pts
13
Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
16 P 5 W 21 Pts

Head to Head

19 Jul 24
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
1–5
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
A
1 Mar 24
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
2–0
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
H
24 Apr 22
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
1–1
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
D
29 Sept 18
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
A
28 Oct 17
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron
18 10 34
2
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
18 10 34
3
Los Andes Los Andes
18 7 29
4
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
18 7 29
5
Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
18 7 28
6
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
18 6 27
7
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
18 7 26
8
CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes
18 7 26
9
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
18 6 25
10
San Miguel San Miguel
18 5 24
11
San Telmo San Telmo
18 4 20
12
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
18 4 20
13
Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba
18 5 20
14
All Boys All Boys
18 4 19
15
Central Norte Central Norte
18 4 18
16
Acassuso Acassuso
18 5 18
17
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
18 3 17
18
Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever
18 2 12
1
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
18 11 36
2
Atlanta Atlanta
18 10 33
3
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
18 7 30
4
Temperley Temperley
18 6 27
5
Midland Midland
18 7 26
6
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
17 7 26
7
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
17 6 23
8
Colegiales Colegiales
18 6 23
9
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
18 5 23
10
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
18 6 22
11
Almagro Almagro
18 6 22
12
Quilmes Quilmes
18 5 21
13
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
16 5 21
14
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
18 5 21
15
Patronato Patronato
18 4 21
16
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
18 5 19
17
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
18 5 19
18
Agropecuario Agropecuario
18 4 18
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Nueva Chicago

2.25

Draw

2.50

Atletico DE Rafaela

4.33

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

3.40

Under 2.5

1.33

Both Teams Score

Yes

2.50

No

1.50

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