Rosenborg
Not Started
Fredrikstad
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
85%
confidence
The evidence strongly supports a low-scoring affair with under 2.5 total goals. Rosenborg have recorded under 2.5 goals in 11 matches and Fredrikstad have achieved under 2.5 in 9 games, which aligns with the season thresholds. H2H and Poisson metrics further lean towards a controlled scoring match, with Rosenborg's home Poisson at 59% and h2h at 62%. Although comparison metrics split, the cumulative data points and defensive records justify this pick. The probability is set conservatively at 85% to account for occasional attacking spurts. This outcome remains our best bet despite moderate risks.
Best Value
Fredrikstad
Team to Score First
A deeper look at team statistics highlights a value edge in predicting that Fredrikstad will score first. Fredrikstad’s season average of 1.4 goals compared to Rosenborg’s 0.8, along with a low failed-to-score tally of 2 instances, indicates a strong likelihood of opening the scoring. While H2H and Poisson metrics favor the home side in some respects, Fredrikstad’s higher attacking form (64% per comparison metrics and 47% in recent form) converges into this value call. This prediction carries a probability of 80% with a robust value edge rating. Risk factors remain due to mixed 3-way and h2h signals, but the evidence clearly supports this optimal option.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
Form: 64% for Fredrikstad vs 36% for Rosenborg
75%
odds 1.33
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Last-5 form: 47% for Fredrikstad vs 27% for Rosenborg
78%
odds 1.28
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 30 | 22 | 71 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 22 | 70 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 30 | 18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Brann | 30 | 17 | 56 |
| 5 |  Sandefjord | 30 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 30 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Rosenborg ● | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad ● | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 30 | 11 | 41 |
| 10 |  Molde | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 30 | 10 | 37 |
| 12 |  KFUM Oslo | 30 | 8 | 35 |
| 13 |  Kristiansund BK | 30 | 9 | 34 |
| 14 |  Bryne | 30 | 8 | 31 |
| 15 |  Stromsgodset | 30 | 6 | 20 |
| 16 |  Haugesund | 30 | 2 | 9 |
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