Football
Eliteserien Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 13
Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad

vs

Not Started

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

🏟 Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
📋 Regular Season - 13
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium-High Risk

Based on multiple metrics, the evidence strongly favors a Home Win. The head-to-head comparison shows an 85% advantage for the home team and the goals metric indicates 69% support for the home side. Season stats reinforce Fredrikstad's strength at home with 3 wins in 5 home fixtures. H2H results and Poisson distribution further back this outcome. While risks remain due to mixed recent form (47% in last-5), the convergence of 85% h2h and 69% goal advantage makes this a confident pick. The risk remains Medium-High due to fixture variability.

Best Value

Home or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance bet on Home or Draw offers excellent value with converging evidence. The head-to-head metric of 85% for home and season indicators (Fredrikstad’s home win rate and defensive solidity) align to support this selection. Recent league fixtures favor home strength as seen in a 57.7% overall home advantage and a better win percentage at home. The high 88% probability combined with strong supporting stats suggests a value edge of over 30%. Though inherent match risks exist, the evidence from H2H and season stats gives confidence in this option.

88%

prob.

1.14

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

H2H shows 85% advantage for home

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Home or Draw

57.7% home total advantage

88%

odds 1.14

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
LLDWW
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
No data

Current Standings

4
Lillestrom
Lillestrom
11 P 6 W 19 Pts
10
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
11 P 4 W 14 Pts

Head to Head

31 Jan 26
Lillestrom Lillestrom
2–2
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
D
21 May 25
Lillestrom Lillestrom
1–1
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
H
22 Mar 25
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
1–0
Lillestrom Lillestrom
H
20 Oct 24
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
2–1
Lillestrom Lillestrom
H
20 May 24
Lillestrom Lillestrom
0–3
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Viking Viking
30 22 71
2
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
30 22 70
3
Tromso Tromso
30 18 57
4
Brann Brann
30 17 56
5
Sandefjord Sandefjord
30 15 48
6
Valerenga Valerenga
30 13 43
7
Rosenborg Rosenborg
30 11 42
8
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
30 11 42
9
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
30 11 41
10
Molde Molde
30 12 39
11
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
30 10 37
12
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
30 8 35
13
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
30 9 34
14
Bryne Bryne
30 8 31
15
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
30 6 20
16
Haugesund Haugesund
30 2 9
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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