Football
Eliteserien Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 10
Tromso

Tromso

1–1

Full Time

Aalesund

Aalesund

🏟 Romssa Arena, Tromso
🟡 Espen Eskas, Norway
📋 Regular Season - 10
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Tromso or Draw

Double Chance

75%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 bookmaker Low Risk

Our best bet is the Double Chance 'Tromso or Draw' which balances the mixed H2H record (38% for home) with strong Poisson support (71% at home) and solid seasonal clean sheet numbers (5 home clean sheets). The home team’s scoring consistency and a low risk of upset underpin this pick. This market minimizes risk given the conflicting H2H and season performance data. It also benefits from overall comparative metrics of 49.3% vs 50.7%. Given these converging factors, we assign a conservative probability of 75%.

Best Value

Tromso/Tromso

HT/FT Double

We see a strong value in the HT/FT Double market with 'Tromso/Tromso'. Despite mixed historical H2H, Tromso’s home seasonal performance, including 5 wins and 5 clean sheets at home, supports a dominant two-half performance. The bookmaker odds of 2.10 imply a probability of roughly 47.6%, yet our analysis suggests an 80% chance, yielding over a 30% value edge. This divergence, together with favorable comparison metrics (71% Poisson for home) and season stats, offers a compelling risk-adjusted opportunity. We assign a probability of 80% and a value rating of 5.

80%

prob.

2.1

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Tromso Win

Poisson: Tromso 71% vs H2H: Tromso 38%

68%

odds 1.44

Double Chance

Tromso or Draw

Home clean sheets: 5 vs away failed-to-score: 1

75%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Tromso
Tromso
LWWDW
Aalesund
Aalesund
DLLDL

Current Standings

2
Tromso
Tromso
13 P 7 W 25 Pts
13
Aalesund
Aalesund
11 P 2 W 11 Pts

Head to Head

25 May 26
Tromso Tromso
1–1
Aalesund Aalesund
D
8 Mar 25
Aalesund Aalesund
1–0
Tromso Tromso
H
8 Oct 23
Tromso Tromso
1–2
Aalesund Aalesund
A
11 Jun 23
Aalesund Aalesund
2–3
Tromso Tromso
A
13 Nov 22
Tromso Tromso
2–2
Aalesund Aalesund
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Viking Viking
30 22 71
2
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
30 22 70
3
Tromso Tromso
30 18 57
4
Brann Brann
30 17 56
5
Sandefjord Sandefjord
30 15 48
6
Valerenga Valerenga
30 13 43
7
Rosenborg Rosenborg
30 11 42
8
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
30 11 42
9
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
30 11 41
10
Molde Molde
30 12 39
11
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
30 10 37
12
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
30 8 35
13
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
30 9 34
14
Bryne Bryne
30 8 31
15
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
30 6 20
16
Haugesund Haugesund
30 2 9
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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