Sarpsborg 08 FF
Full Time
Molde
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Molde Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The data strongly favors Molde with a 77% away form and a 67% last-5 form compared to Sarpsborg’s 23% and 20%, respectively. Season fixtures show Molde winning 5 out of 9 matches while Sarpsborg only clinched 2 wins, and the H2H results tilt heavily with 6 wins for Molde in 10 encounters. The comparison metrics also support an away advantage (att 67% vs 33% and def 71% vs 29%). This convergence of evidence across form, season and head-to-head suggests a high likelihood of an away victory. Although there is some risk given the occasional competitive first halves, the balance of probabilities supports a Molde win. Therefore, our highest confidence pick is a Molde win in the full match.
Best Value
Molde Win
Second Half Winner
For optimal value, we consider the second half outcome where Molde’s strength remains consistent. The H2H evidence shows Molde often overturning deficits in the later stages, and comparison metrics show an away advantage with 67% in recent form. With bookmakers offering odds of 2.62 for a Molde second half win and our assigned probability of 80%, the implied edge is significant. This bet carries a value edge well over 30%, as the implied probability from the odds is only about 38%. Season and last-5 stats further support Molde’s ability to perform robustly in the second half. Despite inherent match risks, the convergence of independent indicators makes this a strong value proposition.
80%
prob.
2.62
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Molde Win
Molde’s last 5 form is 67% versus Sarpsborg’s 20%
80%
odds 2.5
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Molde's season win rate is significantly higher (5 wins) than Sarpsborg’s (2 wins)
85%
odds 1.5
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 30 | 22 | 71 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 22 | 70 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 30 | 18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Brann | 30 | 17 | 56 |
| 5 |  Sandefjord | 30 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 30 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 |  Rosenborg | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF ● | 30 | 11 | 41 |
| 10 | Molde ● | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 30 | 10 | 37 |
| 12 |  KFUM Oslo | 30 | 8 | 35 |
| 13 |  Kristiansund BK | 30 | 9 | 34 |
| 14 |  Bryne | 30 | 8 | 31 |
| 15 |  Stromsgodset | 30 | 6 | 20 |
| 16 |  Haugesund | 30 | 2 | 9 |
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