Football
Eliteserien Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 10
Sandefjord

Sandefjord

1–1

Full Time

Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad

🏟 Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
🟡 Mohammad Usman Aslam, Norway
📋 Regular Season - 10
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sandefjord or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 bookmaker Low Risk

Our safest pick is Double Chance 'Sandefjord or Draw', as it mitigates the risk from conflicting H2H trends. Sandefjord's home form stands at 70% while they have secured 3 clean sheets at home this season. Their last-5 defensive rate of 71% adds extra confidence despite mixed h2h data favoring the away side. This bet offers broad coverage given the home team's consistency at Jotun Arena. The convergence of season defensive stats and home league form underpins our choice. Although the evidence isn’t irrefutable across all metrics, the balance of 35% comparison and 25% season stats gives us comfort.

Best Value

Sandefjord Win

3-Way Result

Our value option is the 3-Way Result bet on a 'Sandefjord Win'. Despite conflicting h2h statistics (home 15% vs away 85%), the strong indicators from comparison metrics such as a 70% home form, 71% poisson distribution and a superior defensive rate of 63% support this outcome. Season stats further show Sandefjord’s ability to secure clean sheets with 3 home clean sheets. By assigning a probability of 85%, we capture value against the bookmaker’s odds of 1.90, which imply only a 52.6% chance. This yields an approximate value edge above 30%. While inherent risks remain, the convergence of multiple independent metrics justifies this pick.

85%

prob.

1.9

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Sandefjord Win

Home form 70% and poisson 71% presage a win

85%

odds 1.9

Double Chance

Sandefjord or Draw

3 home clean sheets reinforce defensive strength

80%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sandefjord
Sandefjord
LDWWD
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
LLDWW

Current Standings

8
Sandefjord
Sandefjord
11 P 4 W 14 Pts
10
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
11 P 4 W 14 Pts

Head to Head

25 May 26
Sandefjord Sandefjord
1–1
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
D
26 Oct 25
Sandefjord Sandefjord
0–0
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
D
21 Apr 25
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
3–1
Sandefjord Sandefjord
H
15 Feb 25
Sandefjord Sandefjord
2–2
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
D
1 Dec 24
Sandefjord Sandefjord
0–1
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Viking Viking
30 22 71
2
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
30 22 70
3
Tromso Tromso
30 18 57
4
Brann Brann
30 17 56
5
Sandefjord Sandefjord
30 15 48
6
Valerenga Valerenga
30 13 43
7
Rosenborg Rosenborg
30 11 42
8
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
30 11 42
9
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
30 11 41
10
Molde Molde
30 12 39
11
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
30 10 37
12
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
30 8 35
13
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
30 9 34
14
Bryne Bryne
30 8 31
15
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
30 6 20
16
Haugesund Haugesund
30 2 9
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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