Football
Allsvenskan Allsvenskan
· Regular Season - 12
Vasteras SK FK

Vasteras SK FK

vs

Not Started

Degerfors IF

Degerfors IF

🏟 Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
📋 Regular Season - 12
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium-High Risk

Using a combination of comparison metrics, away team performance has strong backing with a 70% Poisson distribution and a 71% head-to-head advantage, which supports an Away Win. The three-way result comparison also indicates home teams at 29% versus away at 71%, reinforcing this prediction. Despite Vasteras SK's slightly better recent form at 27% compared to Degerfors' 20%, the broader data converges on an away advantage. Season metrics further show that away teams average a better scoring percentage with 62% in the goals metric. Historical H2H evidence, where away wins are dominant, provides additional support. Risk remains medium-high given some conflicting recent form details, but the overall convergence makes the Away Win a strong pick.

Best Value

Away Win or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers additional value by covering the possibility of both an Away Win or a Draw, which enhances the probability to 85%. Comparison metrics and H2H data both lean strongly in favor of the away side, justifying this conservative yet value-packed option. Season statistics, including the goals and defensive records, underline the away team's resilience. The convergence of 70% Poisson and 71% H2H advantage further supports the safety of this choice. While there is some risk from the slightly better home recent form, the value edge is significant. This bet’s calculated value edge is well over the 30% threshold, making it the best optimal pick.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away advantage at 71%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Double chance probability increased to 85%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
No data
Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF
DWLWL

Current Standings

11
Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
10 P 3 W 12 Pts
12
Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF
10 P 2 W 10 Pts

Head to Head

14 Feb 26
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
0–1
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
A
8 Mar 25
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
1–0
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
H
15 Jul 24
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
3–1
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
H
26 Mar 24
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
0–0
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
D
14 Mar 21
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
3–4
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
30 23 75
2
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
30 19 62
3
Gais Gais
30 14 52
4
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
30 16 51
5
Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF
30 13 49
6
Malmo FF Malmo FF
30 13 49
7
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
30 13 48
8
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
30 12 40
9
Sirius Sirius
30 11 39
10
BK Hacken BK Hacken
30 9 35
11
Halmstad Halmstad
30 10 35
12
IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna
30 9 31
13
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
30 8 30
14
IFK Norrkoping IFK Norrkoping
30 8 29
15
Osters IF Osters IF
30 6 26
16
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
30 3 16
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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