Football
Allsvenskan Allsvenskan
· Regular Season - 12
Malmo FF

Malmo FF

vs

Not Started

IFK Goteborg

IFK Goteborg

🏟 Eleda Stadion
📋 Regular Season - 12
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for a Home Win is supported by strong comparison metrics with home goals at 67% and a H2H advantage of 71%, despite Malmo’s low last-5 form of only 20%. Historical H2H data also favors Malmo with multiple wins, though there is a slight risk from recent form discrepancies. Overall, the convergence of 67% goals and 71% H2H metrics justifies an 80% probability. The evidence from both Poisson (59% for home) and overall match stats reinforces this choice. Caution is advised due to recent poor home form, but the traditional home advantage remains compelling. This pick carries moderate risk under our conservative approach.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Goals Over/Under market on Under 2.5 benefits from value as Malmo’s home under_over stat for 2.5 is 8 under vs only 2 over, and overall seasonal matches average just 2.0 goals per game. With strong evidence from season stats and comparison metrics supporting low-scoring affairs, there is a clear value edge here. Additionally, H2H results and low average goals for Goteborg further consolidate this view. The convergence of an 8/10 under record and overall low scoring supports an 85% probability, delivering a significant value edge. Despite inherent match risks, this option presents a high value opportunity. The edge rating is robust given the overwhelming under trend.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

H2H advantage at 71% and 67% goals for home

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw

Combined home/draw safety yields 82% confidence

82%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Malmo FF
Malmo FF
WLWWD
IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
DDDLL

Current Standings

9
Malmo FF
Malmo FF
10 P 4 W 13 Pts
14
IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
10 P 2 W 10 Pts

Head to Head

24 Aug 25
Malmo FF Malmo FF
0–0
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
D
25 May 25
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
1–0
Malmo FF Malmo FF
H
16 Mar 25
Malmo FF Malmo FF
3–2
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
H
28 Oct 24
Malmo FF Malmo FF
2–1
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
H
13 May 24
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
0–3
Malmo FF Malmo FF
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
30 23 75
2
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
30 19 62
3
Gais Gais
30 14 52
4
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
30 16 51
5
Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF
30 13 49
6
Malmo FF Malmo FF
30 13 49
7
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
30 13 48
8
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
30 12 40
9
Sirius Sirius
30 11 39
10
BK Hacken BK Hacken
30 9 35
11
Halmstad Halmstad
30 10 35
12
IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna
30 9 31
13
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
30 8 30
14
IFK Norrkoping IFK Norrkoping
30 8 29
15
Osters IF Osters IF
30 6 26
16
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
30 3 16
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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