Richmond Kickers have shown a strong edge with 67% last-5 form compared to Boise's 27% and a decisive H2H halftime score of 1-0 in their favor, indicating they are likely to score first. Season trends and comparison metrics also support this view, even though conflicting Poisson data exists. The aggregated evidence from H2H and recent performance builds confidence in this outcome. This prediction carries a moderate risk given some mixed signals from other metrics. The estimated probability for Richmond Kickers to score first is 80%. Overall, multiple independent metrics point towards this outcome while keeping risk in check.