Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 25
Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers

vs

Not Started

Derry City

Derry City

🏟 Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
📋 Regular Season - 25
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The under 2.5 goals market shows strong convergence with season stats: Shamrock Rovers recorded 16 under 2.5 outcomes at home while Derry City had 18 unders away, reflecting unders in over 80% of games. Comparison metrics support low scoring with home/away thresholds favoring under, as seen in 72% Poisson for home and 28% for away. H2H records and overall season trends further reinforce limited scoring opportunities. Despite mixed H2H win/draw splits, the consistent under performance drives confidence. This pick aggregates data from multiple independent sources and carries low risk. It meets the high-confidence threshold with a 90% probability.

Best Value

No

BTTS

The BTTS market offers high value as both teams are unlikely to score, with Derry City’s low attack (27% and an average of 0.6 goals in the last 5) and Shamrock Rovers’ tendency to keep clean sheets at home. This aligns with season data showing numerous clean sheets and a strong defensive record. With a probability of 80%, the provided bookmaker odds of 2.00 generate a substantial value edge. Convergence of comparison metrics, last-5 stats, and season under/over trends suggests a high edge. The evidence points to a 60% implied value edge, making this market optimal. Risks remain, but they are mitigated by the statistical consistency across data.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form at 69% vs Away at 31%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

77% home attack vs 23% away attack

88%

odds 1.14

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
WWLWW
Derry City
Derry City
DDWWD

Current Standings

1
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
20 P 12 W 40 Pts
6
Derry City
Derry City
20 P 4 W 22 Pts

Head to Head

24 Apr 26
Derry City Derry City
1–0
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
H
6 Mar 26
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
1–0
Derry City Derry City
H
31 Jan 26
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
0–1
Derry City Derry City
A
26 Oct 25
Derry City Derry City
2–1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
H
3 Aug 25
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
2–0
Derry City Derry City
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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