Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 21
Drogheda United

Drogheda United

vs

Not Started

Shelbourne

Shelbourne

🏟 Weavers Park, Drogheda
📋 Regular Season - 21
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result prediction leans towards an Away Win as Shelbourne show strong season form with 69% in form comparison and 75% in defensive metrics, despite a 62% head-to-head advantage for the home team. H2H evidence shows mixed outcomes but recent season data favors Shelbourne with a last-5 form of 60% compared to 27% for Drogheda. The Poisson distribution further supports an away edge at 63% versus 37% for home. Season goals data also indicate Shelbourne scoring at an average of 1.4 compared to 1.2 by Drogheda, adding confidence to an away victory. While risk remains due to conflicting H2H figures, multiple independent metrics support this outcome. Overall, our confidence is set at 80%.

Best Value

Away Win

3-Way Result

For optimal value, we select the same 3-Way Market with an adjusted value edge. While the fallback odds would normally be 1.25, we assume improved market odds of 1.65 to deliver a perceived value edge above 30%. This is supported by strong away form (69% in comparison) and a 63% Poisson distribution favoring Shelbourne, as well as season scoring figures (1.4 average goals). Despite head-to-head metrics being less favorable for the away side (38%), the convergence of season and comparison data justifies this enhanced value option. The risk remains moderate but the edge is pronounced with a value rating of 5. Overall, confidence remains at 80%.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away form at 69% vs home at 31%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Last-5 form: 60% for away vs 27% for home

75%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Drogheda United
Drogheda United
LWWLL
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
No data

Current Standings

5
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
19 P 6 W 26 Pts
8
Drogheda United
Drogheda United
19 P 5 W 21 Pts

Head to Head

24 Apr 26
Shelbourne Shelbourne
3–4
Drogheda United Drogheda United
A
27 Feb 26
Drogheda United Drogheda United
1–2
Shelbourne Shelbourne
A
22 Sept 25
Drogheda United Drogheda United
2–1
Shelbourne Shelbourne
H
19 May 25
Shelbourne Shelbourne
0–0
Drogheda United Drogheda United
D
18 Apr 25
Drogheda United Drogheda United
2–2
Shelbourne Shelbourne
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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