Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 19
Dundalk

Dundalk

2–1

Full Time

Derry City

Derry City

🏟 Oriel Park, Dundalk
🟡 O. Moran
📋 Regular Season - 19
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Dundalk or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.36 bookmaker Low Risk

Our analysis shows that covering two outcomes with Double Chance (Dundalk or Draw) is the safest route. Dundalk’s home form stands at 56% and they have secured 5 wins in 9 home fixtures, while draws add extra protection. Comparison metrics and season stats support a favorable home performance despite mixed H2H data. This bet reduces risk and offers a solid probability given Dundalk’s overall form and attack strength.

Best Value

Dundalk Win

3-Way Result

The 3-Way Result predicting a Dundalk Win shows excellent value with strong evidence. Comparison metrics highlight Dundalk’s superior attack at 70% versus 30% for Derry City, and a Poisson distribution of 65% vs 35% also favors them. Despite H2H figures slightly favoring the away side, season stats such as 4 home clean sheets and zero failed-to-score at home reinforce Dundalk’s potential. With a probability set at 80%, this bet yields a significant value edge.

80%

prob.

2.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Dundalk Win

Dundalk attack at 70% vs Derry City at 30%

80%

odds 2.25

Double Chance

Dundalk or Draw

5 wins and 2 draws in 9 home fixtures

80%

odds 1.36

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Dundalk
Dundalk
LLWDW
Derry City
Derry City
DDWWD

Current Standings

4
Dundalk
Dundalk
19 P 7 W 29 Pts
6
Derry City
Derry City
20 P 4 W 22 Pts

Head to Head

29 May 26
Dundalk Dundalk
2–1
Derry City Derry City
H
10 Apr 26
Dundalk Dundalk
2–2
Derry City Derry City
D
13 Feb 26
Derry City Derry City
2–2
Dundalk Dundalk
D
18 Oct 24
Dundalk Dundalk
0–2
Derry City Derry City
A
9 Aug 24
Derry City Derry City
1–1
Dundalk Dundalk
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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